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XRP Suffered 22% June Loss, but History Favors a Major July Rally

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XRP has not been spared by the overall market weakness, especially in June, plummeting hard to a multi-year low of $1.00. However, that coveted support line managed to hold the bears’ breakdown attempt, and the asset has rebounded swiftly.

All eyes are now on July, which has been historically one of the token’s best-performing months. This is particularly true for the past four editions, as each brought a double-digit gain. So, what’s next for July 2026?

June’s Calamity and July’s Promise

Data from Cryptorank indicated that XRP ended June with a massive 22.1% decline. During the month, the asset dipped to $1.01 (on most exchanges) amid the growing crypto FUD, the escalating tension in the Middle East, and so on. This was its lowest price tag since late 2024 and pushed it out of the top 5 cryptocurrencies by market cap.

Although it has rebounded to $1.15 as of press time, it still remains below USDC, BNB, USDT, ETH, and BTC. However, the bulls have a lot to hope for in July, at least according to historical performance. All six previous Julys were in the green for XRP. Moreover, five of them delivered double-digit gains.

July 2020 and 2023 stand out as the most bullish out of the bunch, with price increases of 48.1% and 47.6%, respectively. Last year’s edition brought a spectacular 35% increase, after another 31.2% surge during the year before. The two more modest gains came in July 2022 (14.6%) and 2021 (6.91%).

Although XRP has started the 2026 edition with a 9% increase already, there’s a catch. The five Julys before the aforementioned ones, those from 2015-2019, were all in the red. The question now is, which path will XRP follow now?

XRP Monthly Returns on CryptoRank
XRP Monthly Returns on CryptoRank

Something that can push XRP higher is the ongoing inflows into spot Ripple ETFs. As 报告 over the weekend, the funds have extended their positive streak to nine consecutive weeks in the green.

Quarterly Moves

The 22.1% drop in June 2026 meant a similar (22.4%) decline for the entire Q2. Moreover, this became the third consecutive quarter in the red for the first time ever, each with massive losses. XRP dumped by 35.4% in Q4 2025, by another 27.1% in Q1 2026, and the aforementioned 22.4% in Q2 2026.

The good news for the Ripple bulls is that the token has reacted with substantial gains after each of its previous negative streaks. The next few months will show whether history will repeat or the losses are just getting started.

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