cryptd.in

另类 LinkedIn 适合加密人才

Will Bitcoin Drop Even Lower? Here’s What Experts Predict

-

由

cryptd.in
于

Bitcoin is experiencing a severe downturn over the past few days. After trading above $96,000 on Monday, its price slipped below $80,000 today for the first time since November 11. This rapid decline marks a nearly 18% slump since the start of the week. From its all-time high of $109,588 on January 20, Bitcoin has now shed approximately 27% of its value.

Several factors have converged to exert downward pressure on the cryptocurrency. These include the newly imposed Trump tariffs, large-scale outflows from spot BTC ETFs, and exceptionally high levels of liquidations in the futures markets. While sentiment has clearly taken a hit with the Fear and Greed Index at 16 (“Extreme Fear”), some analysts note that these conditions could also be setting the stage for the next significant move––be it further downside or a potential rebound.

How Low Can Bitcoin Go?

Renowned crypto analyst Scott Melker, also known as “The Wolf Of All Streets,” highlights a developing bullish divergence on multiple timeframes. In a post on X, Melker writes: “BTC 4-HOUR: Bullish divergence still building after the hidden bearish divergence I was watching for. This could fail, obviously, but RSI is holding up well. If you have been following me for years, this is my favorite signal when confirmed. Oversold RSI with bullish divs building over multiple timeframes.”

Bitcoin bullish divergence

Technical analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino, CMT (@tonythebullBTC) 相信 the market may be tracing out a familiar corrective pattern similar to what occurred in 2021 and 2022. He suggests this pattern “could get an extended fifth of a fifth situation that takes us well into late 2025.” He added that “this does mean this could go a lot lower than many are expecting, to about $75,000 if the same higher degree fractal is followed to the 0.5 Fib retracement.”

expanded flat correction

Severino also cautions that traders “do not want to see Bitcoin tag the monthly Parabolic SAR, currently located at $75,742,” as a breach of that level could signal a deeper correction. He expects the Parabolic SAR will rise slightly by the monthly close, potentially pushing the critical support zone into the low $80,000 range.

Prominent trader Josh Olszewicz (@CarpeNoctom) tracks the Ichimoku Cloud for key insights. He points to a possible retest of Bitcoin’s weekly kijun, referencing “weekly kijun support at 74k if we keep going.” Olszewicz notes Bitcoin last tapped the weekly kijun during the yen carry trade unwind in August 2024—an event that saw heightened volatility across global markets.

Weekly kijun support at $74,000

Analyst Daan Crypto Trades (@DaanCrypto) draws parallels with previous market cycles when Bitcoin’s Daily RSI dipped to the 20 level: “The last time BTC was this ‘oversold’ [at 20] on the Daily RSI was back in August 2023 when it was trading at $25K. The time before that was after the FTX implosion at the bear market bottom in late 2022. Short term this means little but it should start peaking your interest.”

Oversold RSI on the daily chart

He also spotted significant buy orders on Binance futures: “BTC ~$1.8 Billion in Bids has appeared on the Binance futures pair. These bids are sitting between $70K-$79K. What happens when bids like these appear is varied. Sometimes price never moves into them, when it does start hitting them, it often fills a lot of them before (shortly) reversing. Keep in mind, these are bids that can just as easily be pulled away. Highlighting this as it’s an insane amount and this is something you rarely ever see.”

Ki Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, highlights the role of liquidity in determining Bitcoin’s trajectory. He noted spot volume was “highly active around $100K,” but explained that “prices drop when new liquidity dries up.” For Ju, the key question is: where will fresh liquidity come from if the market is already in a distribution phase?

He foresees a potential extended consolidation between “$75K-$100K,” resembling Bitcoin’s price action in early 2024. Such a range could persist until a fresh catalyst emerges. “We’ll likely see an extended consolidation in the wide range (e.g., $75K-100K), similar to early 2024, imo. This could last until some good news for Bitcoin brings in new liquidity,” Ju predicts.

At press time, BTC traded at $78,856.

Bitcoin price

评论

發佈留言

發佈留言必須填寫的電子郵件地址不會公開。 必填欄位標示為 *

最新信息

热门类别

zh_TW 繁體中文
zh_TW 繁體中文 en_US English ro_RO Română et Eesti ko_KR 한국어 ja 日本語 ru_RU Русский de_DE Deutsch es_ES Español zh_CN 简体中文 fr_FR Français pt_PT Português it_IT Italiano pl_PL Polski tr_TR Türkçe nl_NL Nederlands id_ID Bahasa Indonesia el Ελληνικά uk Українська bg_BG Български cs_CZ Čeština fi Suomi hu_HU Magyar lv Latviešu valoda lt_LT Lietuvių kalba nb_NO Norsk bokmål sk_SK Slovenčina sl_SI Slovenščina sv_SE Svenska

搜索网站

热门故事

标签

#AlexeyPertsev (1) #BidenCryptoBan (1) #BidenElection (1) #BinanceVsCoinbase (1) #Bitcoin (458) #BitcoinETF (3) #itcoinFundamentals (1) # 比特币处理 (1) # 比特币价格 (5) # 比特币价格水平 (1) #BitcoinPump (1) #BitcoinReserve (1) #BitcoinSurge (1) #itcoinTop (1) #Bitfinex (1) #Bitwise (1) #BracebridgeCapital (1) #BRC20Tokens (1) #BTC 收购 (1) 1TP5 看涨预测 (1) #BullishSentiment (1) #C 中国矿业 (1) #CPIPreview (1) #CryptoAsset (2) #CryptoBattle (1) #CryptoBoom (1) #CryptoExpert (1) #CryptoInsights (1) #CryptoMania (1) #CryptoMarket (4) #CryptoPrediction (1) #CryptoPredictions (1) #CryptoRegulation (2) #CryptoTakeoff (1) #CryptoTiming (1) #CryptoTips (1) #CryptoTreasury (1) #CryptoUncertainty (1) #DerivativeJump (1) #Dogecoin (74) #ogecoinGains (1) #ogecoinVolume (1) #DutchCourt (2) #ECommerce (1) #El萨尔瓦多比特币 (1) #E以太坊 (74) #EthereumPain (1) #E以太坊价格 (1) #ExpertOpinion (1) #FedRateCut (1) #FiatCurrency (1) #F 财务影响 (1) #F 财务隐私 (1) #FirmShutdown (1) #FrozenAccounts (1) #IllicitFunds (1) #InflationData (1) #Investment (1) #InvestmentLoss (1) #JapaneseFirm (1) #L LegalAction (1) #L 法律影响 (1) #Legislation (1) #LightningNetwork (1) #M 市场分析 (3) #M 市场监测 (1) #M 市场预测 (1) #M 市场预测 (1) #M 市场投影 (1) #M 市场支持 (1) #M 市场波动性 (1) #M 婚姻 (1) #MemeCoin (5) #MemeCoins (2) #Miner 盈利能力 (1) #M 洗钱 (2) #MtGox (4) #朝鲜加密货币 (1) #诺沃格拉茨预测 (1) 1TP5价格里程碑 (1) #P 价格预测 (2) 1TP5价格问题 (1) #PriceSurge (1) #PrisonSentence (1) # 量化分析 (1) #R 监管压力 (1) #SECA Anti-Crypto (1) #ShibaInu (6) #SocialBuzz (1) #T 技术分析 (1) #Toncoin (3) #T 龙卷风现金 (3) #T 龙卷风现金发展项目 (1) #T 龙卷风现金开发者 (1) #UKCrypto (1) #UpsidePotential (1) #USCongress (1) #WyomingLand (1) #XRPPrice (1) #XRPupswing (1)

实用链接

我发现了一些有用的链接，希望与大家分享。