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Brutal Bitcoin Liquidation Cascade Imminent Below $59K, Warns Analyst

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Analyst ‘Reflection’ warned of a brutal Bitcoin liquidation cascade below $59,000, claiming over $1.6 billion in long leverage is stacked in one zone around $58,000 based on CoinGlass data.

“In all my years trading, I’ve never seen this much long-side liquidity stacked in one single zone,” they said on Wednesday.

That liquidation zone is not far away, as Bitcoin fell to $59,175 on Wednesday, matching its early June low.

Everyone will get liquidated

The analyst continued to warn that “Every influencer who screamed ‘the bottom is already in’ is about to get liquidated.” They attached a liquidity heatmap video that visually demonstrates dense long-side positions, framing the potential wipeout as a classic liquidity hunt that historically forms macro bottoms.

“When that liquidity gets taken, there’s nothing left to dump. That’s how every macro bottom has formed.”

Over the past 24 hours, around 178,000 traders were liquidated, with the total liquidations coming in at $984 million, according to CoinGlass. More than 80% of them were long positions.

CryptoQuant analyst ‘Darkfost’ 观察到的 that yearly realized profits eventually fall below the level of realized losses in every bear market.

“It is precisely at that moment that capitulation reaches its bear market peak,” they said.

Currently, the annual average of realized profits remains above realized losses, at $305 billion versus $198 billion, suggesting that further losses are imminent in a final capitulation.

“The market suggests that capitulation could extend further, to the point where annual realized losses become dominant.”

Meanwhile, permabull ‘Sykodelic’ 观察到的 that Bitcoin has now reached only 46% of the supply in profit, which equals the 2022 bear market low. However, in this cycle, BTC reached this level after a 52% drop, compared to 2022, which was a 75% drop.

BTC Price Outlook

Bitcoin hit its lowest level for almost two years yesterday, just above $59,000. Asian trading on Thursday morning saw a minor recovery to reclaim $61,000, where it trades at the time of writing.

The $60,000 level is key long-term resistance, with two-year lows around $54,000 being the next major leg down should the predicted liquidity cascade unfold.

Additionally, previous bear market bottoms have also seen a dip below the realized price, which is currently a little over $53,000.

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