cryptd.in

另类 LinkedIn 适合加密人才

Bitcoin Surpasses Realized Price Of Recent Buyers — Rally Incoming Or Double Top?

-

由

cryptd.in
于

Recent positive price action has propelled Bitcoin (BTC) above the short-term holders’ realized price of $91,000. This development has prompted some crypto analysts to question whether BTC’s newfound strength is sustainable – or merely a bull trap ahead of a major pullback.

Is Bitcoin About To Rally Or Will It Double Top?

US President Donald Trump’s recent statement that tariffs on China will be “substantially” lower than the proposed 145% provided a boost to risk-on assets. Both equity and crypto markets responded positively, with BTC up 5.6% over the past 24 hours.

Bitcoin is currently trading in the low $90,000s for the first time since March, renewing hopes for an extended rally that could push it past the $100,000 mark. However, CryptoQuant contributor Avocado_onchain urges caution.

In a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the on-chain analyst provided insights into the behavior of the 1–3 month holder cohort. This group typically enters the market during bullish phases and tends to hold their BTC through price corrections.

The analyst shared the following chart, illustrating how these short-term participants often transition into the 3–6 month holding category – highlighted with a yellow arrow – during extended drawdowns. Conversely, during strong rallies – highlighted with a green arrow – this group tends to take profits by selling to new market entrants.

chart 1

As the market nears the final stages of a rally – highlighted with a red circle – this cohort usually grows significantly in size. When a drawdown begins, these short-term holders often exit the market as prices approach their realized cost basis.

Avocado_onchain also shared another chart showing how the peaks of previous BTC halving cycles have consistently surpassed the average realized price of 1–3 month holders.

chart 2

Further, the analyst warned that the current market cycle may mirror the double top formation witnessed in 2021. They added:

When Bitcoin hit its all-time high of $109,000 in January 2025, it significantly exceeded this realized price level, suggesting that may have been the first top of a potential double top formation. Hence, rather than chasing the rally, it may be wiser for current holders to adopt a more cautious approach.

Macro Headwinds Could Derail BTC Momentum

The analyst further cautioned that limited market liquidity and macroeconomic factors – such as US-China tariff tensions – could weigh heavily on risk-on assets like BTC. That said, market sentiment can shift rapidly, and the entry of fresh liquidity could reignite a full-scale bull market.

Meanwhile, crypto analyst Xanrox recently warned that BTC’s breakout from a falling wedge pattern may be a whale-driven trap designed to lure retail investors before another leg down. At press time, Bitcoin is trading at $93,754, up 5.6% in the past 24 hours.

bitcoin

评论

发表回复

您的邮箱地址不会被公开。 必填项已用 * 标注

最新信息

热门类别

zh_CN 简体中文
zh_CN 简体中文 en_US English ro_RO Română et Eesti ko_KR 한국어 ja 日本語 ru_RU Русский de_DE Deutsch es_ES Español fr_FR Français zh_TW 繁體中文 pt_PT Português it_IT Italiano pl_PL Polski tr_TR Türkçe nl_NL Nederlands id_ID Bahasa Indonesia el Ελληνικά uk Українська bg_BG Български cs_CZ Čeština fi Suomi hu_HU Magyar lv Latviešu valoda lt_LT Lietuvių kalba nb_NO Norsk bokmål sk_SK Slovenčina sl_SI Slovenščina sv_SE Svenska

搜索网站

热门故事

标签

#AlexeyPertsev (1) #BidenCryptoBan (1) #BidenElection (1) #BinanceVsCoinbase (1) #Bitcoin (458) #BitcoinETF (3) #itcoinFundamentals (1) # 比特币处理 (1) # 比特币价格 (5) # 比特币价格水平 (1) #BitcoinPump (1) #BitcoinReserve (1) #BitcoinSurge (1) #itcoinTop (1) #Bitfinex (1) #Bitwise (1) #BracebridgeCapital (1) #BRC20Tokens (1) #BTC 收购 (1) 1TP5 看涨预测 (1) #BullishSentiment (1) #C 中国矿业 (1) #CPIPreview (1) #CryptoAsset (2) #CryptoBattle (1) #CryptoBoom (1) #CryptoExpert (1) #CryptoInsights (1) #CryptoMania (1) #CryptoMarket (4) #CryptoPrediction (1) #CryptoPredictions (1) #CryptoRegulation (2) #CryptoTakeoff (1) #CryptoTiming (1) #CryptoTips (1) #CryptoTreasury (1) #CryptoUncertainty (1) #DerivativeJump (1) #Dogecoin (74) #ogecoinGains (1) #ogecoinVolume (1) #DutchCourt (2) #ECommerce (1) #El萨尔瓦多比特币 (1) #E以太坊 (74) #EthereumPain (1) #E以太坊价格 (1) #ExpertOpinion (1) #FedRateCut (1) #FiatCurrency (1) #F 财务影响 (1) #F 财务隐私 (1) #FirmShutdown (1) #FrozenAccounts (1) #IllicitFunds (1) #InflationData (1) #Investment (1) #InvestmentLoss (1) #JapaneseFirm (1) #L LegalAction (1) #L 法律影响 (1) #Legislation (1) #LightningNetwork (1) #M 市场分析 (3) #M 市场监测 (1) #M 市场预测 (1) #M 市场预测 (1) #M 市场投影 (1) #M 市场支持 (1) #M 市场波动性 (1) #M 婚姻 (1) #MemeCoin (5) #MemeCoins (2) #Miner 盈利能力 (1) #M 洗钱 (2) #MtGox (4) #朝鲜加密货币 (1) #诺沃格拉茨预测 (1) 1TP5价格里程碑 (1) #P 价格预测 (2) 1TP5价格问题 (1) #PriceSurge (1) #PrisonSentence (1) # 量化分析 (1) #R 监管压力 (1) #SECA Anti-Crypto (1) #ShibaInu (6) #SocialBuzz (1) #T 技术分析 (1) #Toncoin (3) #T 龙卷风现金 (3) #T 龙卷风现金发展项目 (1) #T 龙卷风现金开发者 (1) #UKCrypto (1) #UpsidePotential (1) #USCongress (1) #WyomingLand (1) #XRPPrice (1) #XRPupswing (1)

实用链接

我发现了一些有用的链接，希望与大家分享。