cryptd.in

另类 LinkedIn 适合加密人才

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Has BTC Run Out of Steam After Rejection at $80K?

-

由

cryptd.in
于

Bitcoin is closing out April at $76k, ending the month exactly where the technical battle lines are drawn. The recovery from the February low near $60k has been orderly rather than explosive, and after a late push toward $80k failed to sustain, BTC has pulled back to retest the structures that matter most heading into May. Beneath that consolidation, the futures order flow is telling a story the price chart alone does not fully capture.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: The Daily Chart

From the February low, Bitcoin has carved out a clean ascending channel with the lower boundary now providing support near $70k. The price is now likely to test the declining 100-day moving average around $72k after the rejection from the higher boundary of the channel and the $80k resistance level. The RSI is also hovering around 50–55, fading slightly from the mid-April peak as it reflects a market that is consolidating rather than reversing.

The ascending channel structure remains intact as long as $75k holds on a daily close. A bounce from here that reclaims $80k would keep the recovery thesis firmly on track and set up a test of the 200-day moving average around $85k and potentially the $90k supply zone. On the other hand, a drop below the channel floor on a closing basis would be a significant structural damage that would shift focus back toward the $60k demand zone near the February low.

BTC/USDT 4-Hour Chart

On the 4-hour chart, the steeper blue trendline that defined the sharpest leg of April’s rally has been broken, and the price has pulled back from the $80k upper channel boundary to sit just above the $76k green support zone. The RSI on this timeframe has dropped to around 40, which is the softest reading over the past week, signaling that short-term momentum has genuinely weakened and buyers cannot take the current support level for granted.

The broader ascending channel from the early April lows remains intact, with its lower boundary tracking near $68k, which is still well below the current price. This means the larger structure has not been threatened. What has changed is the texture of the move, as the inner trendline loss suggests the easy, low-resistance part of the April rally is over.

A clean hold of the $74k–75k support zone and a clear bounce from this level would signal that the pullback is corrective and the next leg toward $80k is building. However, failure to hold $74k opens the mid-channel area near $72k as the next logical support, followed by the lower boundary of the channel at $68k.

Sentiment Analysis

Throughout the entire corrective phase from late 2025 to March 2026, Bitcoin’s futures market was dominated almost exclusively by retail-sized orders, as the red dots blanket the price chart from $110k all the way down to $62k. This reflects a correction driven and sustained by smaller participants capitulating in a declining market. The first meaningful shift came near the February low, when a cluster of large whale futures orders appeared, which was the first institutional-scale futures activity in months.

What is happening in April is a continuation and amplification of that signal. A fresh cluster of big whale futures orders is now forming near the $75k zone and is growing in density over the past two weeks alongside the current consolidation. Unlike the spot accumulation data seen earlier in the cycle, these are leveraged positions. Whales are not just quietly buying the dip in spot markets. They are also expressing directional conviction through futures.

That distinction matters, as it implies a higher-conviction bet on upside from current levels, or even hedging behavior to tackle their spot portfolio’s downside risk. As a result, if the $75k level holds as the floor, the futures order flow suggests the next significant move is more likely up toward the $80k and beyond than a continuation of the correction.

 

职位 Bitcoin Price Analysis: Has BTC Run Out of Steam After Rejection at $80K? 首次出现在 加密土豆.

评论

发表回复

您的邮箱地址不会被公开。 必填项已用 * 标注

最新信息

热门类别

zh_CN 简体中文
zh_CN 简体中文 en_US English ro_RO Română et Eesti ko_KR 한국어 ja 日本語 ru_RU Русский de_DE Deutsch es_ES Español fr_FR Français zh_TW 繁體中文 pt_PT Português it_IT Italiano pl_PL Polski tr_TR Türkçe nl_NL Nederlands id_ID Bahasa Indonesia el Ελληνικά uk Українська bg_BG Български cs_CZ Čeština fi Suomi hu_HU Magyar lv Latviešu valoda lt_LT Lietuvių kalba nb_NO Norsk bokmål sk_SK Slovenčina sl_SI Slovenščina sv_SE Svenska

搜索网站

热门故事

标签

#AlexeyPertsev (1) #BidenCryptoBan (1) #BidenElection (1) #BinanceVsCoinbase (1) #Bitcoin (437) #BitcoinETF (3) #itcoinFundamentals (1) # 比特币处理 (1) # 比特币价格 (5) # 比特币价格水平 (1) #BitcoinPump (1) #BitcoinReserve (1) #BitcoinSurge (1) #itcoinTop (1) #Bitfinex (1) #Bitwise (1) #BracebridgeCapital (1) #BRC20Tokens (1) #BTC 收购 (1) 1TP5 看涨预测 (1) #BullishSentiment (1) #C 中国矿业 (1) #CPIPreview (1) #CryptoAsset (2) #CryptoBattle (1) #CryptoBoom (1) #CryptoExpert (1) #CryptoInsights (1) #CryptoMania (1) #CryptoMarket (4) #CryptoPrediction (1) #CryptoPredictions (1) #CryptoRegulation (2) #CryptoTakeoff (1) #CryptoTiming (1) #CryptoTips (1) #CryptoTreasury (1) #CryptoUncertainty (1) #DerivativeJump (1) #Dogecoin (73) #ogecoinGains (1) #ogecoinVolume (1) #DutchCourt (2) #ECommerce (1) #El萨尔瓦多比特币 (1) #E以太坊 (69) #EthereumPain (1) #E以太坊价格 (1) #ExpertOpinion (1) #FedRateCut (1) #FiatCurrency (1) #F 财务影响 (1) #F 财务隐私 (1) #FirmShutdown (1) #FrozenAccounts (1) #IllicitFunds (1) #InflationData (1) #Investment (1) #InvestmentLoss (1) #JapaneseFirm (1) #L LegalAction (1) #L 法律影响 (1) #Legislation (1) #LightningNetwork (1) #M 市场分析 (3) #M 市场监测 (1) #M 市场预测 (1) #M 市场预测 (1) #M 市场投影 (1) #M 市场支持 (1) #M 市场波动性 (1) #M 婚姻 (1) #MemeCoin (5) #MemeCoins (2) #Miner 盈利能力 (1) #M 洗钱 (2) #MtGox (4) #朝鲜加密货币 (1) #诺沃格拉茨预测 (1) 1TP5价格里程碑 (1) #P 价格预测 (2) 1TP5价格问题 (1) #PriceSurge (1) #PrisonSentence (1) # 量化分析 (1) #R 监管压力 (1) #SECA Anti-Crypto (1) #ShibaInu (6) #SocialBuzz (1) #T 技术分析 (1) #Toncoin (3) #T 龙卷风现金 (3) #T 龙卷风现金发展项目 (1) #T 龙卷风现金开发者 (1) #UKCrypto (1) #UpsidePotential (1) #USCongress (1) #WyomingLand (1) #XRPPrice (1) #XRPupswing (1)

实用链接

我发现了一些有用的链接，希望与大家分享。