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Bitcoin Could Rally to $173K if This Pattern Plays Out: Analyst

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Crypto analyst EGRAG CRYPTO posted on X on Wednesday that Bitcoin (BTC) is forming an Adam and Eve double bottom on its weekly chart, a pattern that is not yet confirmed but could open the door to $173,000 if it plays out.

The setup hinges on a decisive weekly close above $83,000, followed by a retest that holds that level as new support.

The Setup the Analyst Is Watching

According to EGRAG, the double bottom is forming inside the $51,000 to $67,000 support band, with an aggressive V-shaped low forming the Adam side and a slower, rounded base forming the Eve side. The neckline sits at $83,000.

Getting there, per EGRAG’s roadmap, means holding the current bottom, reclaiming $68,000, then breaking and retesting $83,000 before the move can extend toward $103,000, then $120,000 to $126,000, and finally $173,000.

“$83K is the gateway,” wrote the analyst. “Break it, hold it, and the Adam & Eve structure can trigger the next major expansion.”

However, he did warn that a weekly close below approximately $51,000 would invalidate the whole setup.

Other traders have also chipped in with numbers of their own, including Ted Pillows, who pointed to Bitcoin’s daily Supertrend flipping green, noting that the last time that happened, BTC gained almost 15% in four weeks, and a repeat would put it near $76,000 by August.

But not everyone agrees the move up will continue, one of them being ChartNerd, who called this rally a countertrend move back in April. According to him, the 200-week EMA near $68,000 could be the local top before a final drop into late Q3 or Q4.

A separate note from Axel Adler Jr. added some nuance: realized volatility has fallen 31% this month to its lowest since 2016, and leverage, measured by open interest against market cap, has declined for 21 straight days, a combination he says makes the current bounce of more than 11% off the June 30 low near $59,000 less prone to a forced liquidation cascade.

Meanwhile, Markus Thielen, in a report for BIT, said implied volatility on Bitcoin and Ethereum options has climbed back to 36% after dropping to 31% from 44%, a shift he read as rising demand for upside calls heading into the usually quieter summer months.

Why Bitcoin Has Been Climbing

BTC was trading near $66,000 at the time of writing, down slightly on the day but up over 2% in the past week and close to 3% in the last month.

Data from CoinGecko shows that at one point, the asset came within touching distance of $67,000 before it was dragged back to its current level, which puts it about 47% below its all-time high from October 2025 when it went past $126,000.

That bounce has come alongside a resumption in inflows for spot Bitcoin ETFs, after eight weeks of outflows, as well as improved sentiment following news that there has been some progress on the CLARITY Act’s ethics language.

Bitfinex has flagged $68,000 as the next test for the OG cryptocurrency. It says there’s a reaction zone between $67,900 and $68,300 where short-term holders may look to sell, and that a real breakout will need spot buying rather than speculation to hold.

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