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Bitcoin Reaches Deep Undervaluation Zone – Time To Get In?

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Bitcoin’s recent correction continues to shake market confidence, with the premier cryptocurrency enduring an intense selling pressure over the past several weeks. Since May 15, Bitcoin has steadily declined by 26.8%, with price now trading around the cycle bottom at $60,000. Despite the ongoing market weakness, it appears the latest decline may have pushed Bitcoin into one of its most attractive accumulation zones in years.

Power Law Model Produces Rare Bitcoin Undervaluation

최근 post on X, popular market analyst Darkfost highlighted a significant development in Bitcoin’s long-term valuation metrics.

According to the analyst, the digital asset has now fallen into an extreme undervaluation zone based on the widely followed Bitcoin Power Law model. For context, the Power Law model is a long-term valuation framework that tracks Bitcoin’s growth trajectory. Rather than focusing on short-term price movements, the model attempts to measure whether Bitcoin is trading above or below its historical trend line.

 

 

Notably, Darkfost reports that Bitcoin has now dropped below the model’s 4% quantile, i.e., the asset is trading at a valuation lower than approximately 96% of its historical observations relative to its long-term growth path. Historically, these periods below the 4% quantile level have been associated with deep market pessimism and heightened investor uncertainty.

Historical Trends Suggest Accumulation Opportunity

According to Darkfost, periods of extreme undervaluation represent phases when investors should gradually increase exposure rather than reduce it. This observation is rooted in historical market behavior, where Bitcoin tends to rebound after reaching these undervaluation levels, as seen in 2016, 2020, and 2022.

However, it’s worth noting that the Power Law signal should not be interpreted as an indication of an immediate market reversal. Instead, the Power Law model is designed to assess long-term valuation conditions rather than short-term price direction. As a result, investors are encouraged to view it through a broader investment horizon and deploy their positions carefully.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is valued at $61,592, following a slight 1.95% gain in the last 24 hours. Meanwhile, the daily trading volume is down 56.14% to $31.21 billion. According to Coincodex analysts, the Fear & Greed Index stands at 12, indicating market carnage with extreme fear and a dominant bearish sentiment.

However, Coincodex analysts predict the market should rebound soon, with a projection of $69,489 next month.

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