cryptd.in

암호화폐 친화적인 인재를 위한 대체 링크드인

Bearish Case For Bitcoin: Analyst Warns Macro Top Is In

-

by

cryptd.in
in

Bitcoin’s price rally has hit turbulence over the past 48 hours, and this has opened the door for bearish voices to resurface. After reaching a fresh high of $124,128 just three days ago, the leading cryptocurrency has since declined by about 4.8%, sliding back to the $117,000 to $118,000 price zone at the time of writing. This pullback has opened up a possibility that the much-anticipated macro top may already be in, and further downside may be possible if there is a lack of bullish momentum.

Analyst Maps Out Bearish Bitcoin Wave Structure

Bitcoin showed signs of building on in early August after bouncing off a low around $112,000. However, after its latest high at $124,128, sellers quickly stepped in, pulling the price down. The decline has been accompanied by fading short-term momentum. Although it might be too early to conclude, relative strength index (RSI) readings are starting to point to a bearish divergence on the 4-hour candlestick timeframe chart.

Taking to the social media platform X, crypto analyst CasiTrades outlined what they believe could be the start of a larger ABC corrective structure for Bitcoin. According to the projection, Bitcoin may be entering Wave A, which consists of a five-wave corrective structure that could send the price to as low as $77,000 at the macro 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. 

The roadmap of this price crash envisions an initial Wave 1 drop to $112,000, a brief Wave 2 recovery back to $120,000, and then another Wave 3 decline into the $89,000 range. After this, the next step is a Wave 4 retest break of $100,000 before reversing into Wave 5, which brings the ultimate Wave A bottom at $77,000.

Chart Image From X: CasiTrades

The accompanying chart posted by the analyst shows the wave counts with subwave precision. Interestingly, the analyst also pointed out that the ultimate macro target for the end of this correction is at $60,000, right at the golden 0.618 Fibonacci retracement. This is at the macro level and can only come to fruition if the ABC corrective waves play out to completion.

A Bearish Tone Amidst Bullish Predictions

This analysis introduces a sobering counterpoint at a time when many forecasts continue to paint Bitcoin as being on track for $150,000 and beyond. Even though strong institutional inflows and technical milestones, such as the realized price flipping above the 200-day moving average are bullish indicators, the bearish scenario from CasiTrades could still be valid. 

If Bitcoin fails to reclaim bullish momentum, the current correction could change into something deeper, making the $124,000 high not just a pause but the macro top of this cycle.

Although many cryptocurrencies have largely followed Bitcoin’s movements this cycle, CasiTrade’s analysis isn’t a bearish case for the entire crypto market. According to the analyst, if this bearish case plays out, it could cause the long-discussed capital rotation out of Bitcoin and into large-cap altcoins, some of which may surge to new all-time price highs even as Bitcoin retraces. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $118,203.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

댓글

답글 남기기

이메일 주소는 공개되지 않습니다. 필수 필드는 *로 표시됩니다

최신 피드

인기 카테고리

ko_KR 한국어
ko_KR 한국어 en_US English ro_RO Română et Eesti ja 日本語 ru_RU Русский de_DE Deutsch es_ES Español zh_CN 简体中文 fr_FR Français zh_TW 繁體中文 pt_PT Português it_IT Italiano pl_PL Polski tr_TR Türkçe nl_NL Nederlands id_ID Bahasa Indonesia el Ελληνικά uk Українська bg_BG Български cs_CZ Čeština fi Suomi hu_HU Magyar lv Latviešu valoda lt_LT Lietuvių kalba nb_NO Norsk bokmål sk_SK Slovenčina sl_SI Slovenščina sv_SE Svenska

웹사이트 검색

인기 스토리

태그

#AlexeyPertsev (1) #BidenCryptoBan (1) #BidenElection (1) #BinanceVsCoinbase (1) #B비트코인 (458) #BitcoinETF (3) #B비트코인기초 (1) #B비트코인 취급 (1) #B비트코인가격 (5) #B비트코인가격수준 (1) #B비트코인펌프 (1) #B비트코인예치 (1) #B비트코인서지 (1) #BitcoinTop (1) #Bitfinex (1) #B비트 단위 (1) #브레이스브리지캐피털 (1) #BRC20토큰 (1) #BTC취득 (1) #B울리스틱 예측 (1) #BullishSentiment (1) #C중국광업 (1) #CPIP리뷰 (1) #CryptoAsset (2) #CryptoBattle (1) #CryptoBoom (1) #CryptoExpert (1) #CryptoInsights (1) #CryptoMania (1) #CryptoMarket (4) #CryptoPrediction (1) #CryptoPredictions (1) #CryptoRegulation (2) #CryptoTakeoff (1) #CryptoTiming (1) #CryptoTips (1) #CryptoTreasury (1) #CryptoUncertainty (1) #DerivativeJump (1) #Dogecoin (74) #DogecoinGains (1) #DogecoinVolume (1) #DutchCourt (2) #ECommerce (1) 1TP5테엘살바도르비트코인 (1) 1TP5테더리움 (74) 1TP5테더리움통증 (1) 1TP5테더리움가격 (1) 1TP5전문가 의견 (1) #FedRateCut (1) #FiatCurrency (1) #FinancialImpact (1) #FinancialPrivacy (1) #FirmShutdown (1) #FrozenAccounts (1) #IllicitFunds (1) #인플레이션데이터 (1) #투자 (1) #투자손실 (1) #일본기업 (1) #LegalAction (1) #LegalImpact (1) #법률 (1) #라이트닝 네트워크 (1) 1TP5시장분석 (3) 1TP5시장 모니터링 (1) 1TP5시장 예측 (1) 1TP5시장 예측 (1) #MarketProjection (1) 1TP5마켓지원 (1) 1TP5시장변동성 (1) #M결혼 (1) #MemeCoin (5) #MemeCoins (2) #M광부수익성 (1) #MoneyLaundering (2) #MtGox (4) 1TP5북한암호화 (1) 1TP5노보그라츠예측 (1) #P가격 마일스톤 (1) #P가격 예측 (2) #P가격 질문 (1) #PriceSurge (1) #P형량 (1) #QuantAnalysis (1) 1TP5규제압력 (1) #SEC안티크립토 (1) #ShibaInu (6) #SocialBuzz (1) 1TP5기술분석 (1) #Toncoin (3) #TornadoCash (3) #TornadoCashDev (1) 1TP5토네이도캐시개발자 (1) #UKCrypto (1) #업사이드 잠재력 (1) #USCongress (1) #와이오밍랜드 (1) #XRP가격 (1) #XRP업스윙 (1)

유용한 링크

유용하다고 생각되어 공유하고 싶은 링크.