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Ethereum Approaches Historical Accumulation Level – Just 8% Away From LTH Cost Basis

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Ethereum is trading around key demand levels as fear and uncertainty grip the broader crypto market. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has struggled to regain bullish momentum, currently hovering near $3,150 after weeks of consistent selling pressure. However, new on-chain data from CryptoQuant reveals that Ethereum might be nearing a crucial accumulation zone — one historically associated with long-term holder activity and market bottoms.

According to the report, the ETH price is now just 8% away from touching the Accumulation Addresses Realized Price level at $2,895. This metric represents the average cost basis of long-term investors who have been steadily stacking ETH during previous market cycles. A move toward this level could signal the final stages of the ongoing correction, potentially attracting renewed interest from strategic buyers looking for value entries.

Historically, similar declines toward the realized price of accumulation addresses have acted as strong support zones, leading to price stabilization and subsequent recoveries. While short-term sentiment remains fearful, the proximity to this key level suggests that Ethereum could soon reach a point where long-term investors begin accumulating once again — setting the stage for a potential market rebound.

Long-Term Holders Stay Unshaken

According to CryptoQuant analyst Burak Kesmeci, the $2,895 level represents the average cost basis of long-term Ethereum accumulators — investors who have been “patiently stacking” through multiple market cycles. This group tends to buy during periods of maximum fear, forming a stable foundation for future rallies.

Ethereum Balance on Accumulation Addresses | Source: CryptoQuant

Historically, Ethereum has only dipped below this key level once, during the April 2025 Trump tax-tariff crisis, when global markets faced extreme uncertainty. The Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Index (GEPUCURRENT) surged to 629 points, surpassing even the COVID-19 pandemic peak by 50%. Despite the widespread panic, long-term holders continued to accumulate aggressively rather than sell.

In fact, 2025 saw around 17 million ETH flow into accumulation addresses, raising the total balance held by these wallets from 10 million to over 27 million ETH. This trend highlights the conviction of Ethereum’s strongest investors, who have repeatedly viewed fear-driven sell-offs as opportunities.

If Ethereum were to decline another 8%, it would reach this cost basis once again. Historically, this level has acted as one of the strongest long-term accumulation zones, signaling value and resilience. As Kesmeci notes, even if ETH briefly dips below $2,900, it’s unlikely to remain there for long.

Ethereum Holds Above Key Support as Market Tests Long-Term Confidence

Ethereum’s weekly chart shows that the asset is holding above a key structural support zone near $3,000, after several weeks of downside pressure. The price briefly dipped below this level last week but recovered quickly, forming a potential short-term base around the 200-week moving average — a historically significant line that has supported major bottoms in past cycles.

ETH testing key demand level | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView

Currently trading around $3,190, ETH is attempting to maintain stability within this critical range. The 50-week moving average remains slightly above at $3,500, serving as immediate resistance. A break above that level would be an early signal of renewed bullish momentum, while losing $3,000 could trigger a deeper correction toward $2,800–$2,900, which aligns closely with the Accumulation Realized Price highlighted by CryptoQuant analysts.

The recent decline mirrors past phases of market reset, such as the April 2025 correction, where Ethereum similarly tested long-term supports before rebounding strongly. The confluence of technical and on-chain data suggests that current levels are being closely watched by long-term holders and institutional accumulators.

Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

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