クリプトドットイン

暗号に強い人材のためのオルタナティブ・リンクトイン

BTC Traders Remain Far From -12% Capitulation Zone – What Does This Mean?

-

によって

クリプトドットイン
で

Bitcoin recorded a slight 1.50% price gain in the past 24 hours, with prices now hovering within the $109,000 price range, after a significant price correction from last week. While general market sentiment remains neutral, recent data from blockchain analytics firm CryptoQuant suggests the leading cryptocurrency may experience further price drops before any potential full rebound.

Bitcoin Needs Deeper Losses For Strong Rebound Signal: Data

In an X post on August 30, top market analyst Ali Martinez shares an important insight into a potential Bitcoin price recovery. Using data from CryptoQuant, Martinez identifies that the Bitcoin Trader Realized Profit/Loss Margin (P/L Margin) sat at-0.60% when prices traded at $111,337, indicating that the present P/L Margin is around -2.2%.

Nevertheless, this P/L level stands in sharp contrast to historical capitulation thresholds. In previous cycles, Bitcoin has staged strong rebounds once the P/L margin fell to around -12%, marking heavy realized losses among short-term holders and creating the conditions for aggressive accumulation by larger entities.

ビットコイン

For example, during the market downturn of April 2025, margins collapsed beyond -12%, shortly before Bitcoin rebounded from sub-$75,000 levels to reclaim the six-figure range. A similar pattern occurred in July 2023 and October 2023, when capitulation below -12% preceded the significant levels of price rebounds.

Currently, with margins hovering just around -2%, it is unlikely to see a textbook capitulation-driven rebound. This data suggests that deeper realized losses may be necessary before strong upside momentum resumes. However, this further price correction is not guaranteed. Alternatively, Bitcoin could also continue to trade sideways to gather momentum before initiating a price upswing.

Bitcoin Market Outlook

At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $109,528, reflecting a modest 1.50% intraday gain as earlier stated. However, the premier cryptocurrency remains under pressure, with losses of 5.51% on the weekly chart and 5.31% over the past month, signaling that many recent market entrants are holding at a loss.

According to CryptoQuant’s data, Bitcoin’s realized price, which represents the average cost basis of all coins, currently stands at approximately $112,000. Historically, trading below the realized price suggests weaker investor conviction and heightened selling pressure from traders in loss, while sustained periods above it tend to coincide with bullish market phases.

For market sentiment to stabilize, bulls must decisively reclaim the $112,000 realized price level. A successful breakout above this threshold could effectively halt the ongoing correction and pave the way for a rebound, with potential upside targets around $116,000.

ビットコイン

コメント

コメントを残す

メールアドレスが公開されることはありません。 ※ が付いている欄は必須項目です

最新フィード

人気カテゴリー

ja 日本語
ja 日本語 en_US English ro_RO Română et Eesti ko_KR 한국어 ru_RU Русский de_DE Deutsch es_ES Español zh_CN 简体中文 fr_FR Français zh_TW 繁體中文 pt_PT Português it_IT Italiano pl_PL Polski tr_TR Türkçe nl_NL Nederlands id_ID Bahasa Indonesia el Ελληνικά uk Українська bg_BG Български cs_CZ Čeština fi Suomi hu_HU Magyar lv Latviešu valoda lt_LT Lietuvių kalba nb_NO Norsk bokmål sk_SK Slovenčina sl_SI Slovenščina sv_SE Svenska

ウェブサイトを検索

人気記事

タグ

#AlexeyPertsev (1) #Bidenクリプトバン (1) #Biden選挙 (1) #BinanceVsCoinbase (1) #ビットコイン (458) #BitcoinETF (3) #ビットコイン基礎知識 (1) #ビットコインの取り扱い (1) #Bビットコイン価格 (5) #BitcoinPriceLevel (1) #BitcoinPump (1) #BitcoinReserve (1) #ビットコイン・サージ (1) #Bitcoinトップ (1) #Bitfinex (1) #ビットワイズ (1) #BracebridgeCapital (1) #BRC20トークン (1) #BTC取得 (1) #Bullish予測 (1) #Bullishセンチメント (1) #中国鉱業 (1) #CPプレビュー (1) #CryptoAsset (2) #CryptoBattle (1) #CryptoBoom (1) #CryptoExpert (1) #CryptoInsights (1) #クリプトマニア (1) #CryptoMarket (4) #CryptoPrediction (1) #Crypto予測 (1) 1TP5トリプトレギュレーション (2) #CryptoTakeoff (1) #CryptoTiming (1) #CryptoTips (1) #CryptoTreasury (1) #CryptoUncertainty（暗号の不確実性 (1) #Dデリバティブジャンプ (1) #Dogecoin (74) #Dogecoinゲイン (1) #Dogecoinボリューム (1) #ダッチコート (2) #ECコマース (1) #ElSalvadorビットコイン (1) #Ethereum (74) #EthereumPain (1) #EthereumPrice (1) 1TP5専門家の意見 (1) #Fedレートカット (1) #FiatCurrency (1) #フィナンシャル・インパクト (1) #フィナンシャル・プライバシー (1) #Firmシャットダウン (1) #F凍結アカウント (1) 1TP5自己資金 (1) #InflationData (1) 1TP5投資 (1) 1TP5投資損失 (1) #日本ファーム (1) #法的措置 (1) 1TP5法的影響 (1) #法律 (1) #LightningNetwork (1) #市場分析 (3) #Mマーケットモニタリング (1) #M市場予測 (1) #市場予測 (1) #M市場予測 (1) #Mマーケットサポート (1) #マーケットボラティリティ (1) #マリッジ (1) #MemeCoin (5) #Memeコイン (2) #Miner収益性 (1) #マネーロンダリング (2) #MtGox (4) #北朝鮮暗号 (1) #ノボグラッツ予想 (1) #Priceマイルストーン (1) #P価格予測 (2) #Price質問 (1) #プライスサージ (1) #Prisonセンテンス (1) #QuantAnalysis (1) 1TP5規制圧力 (1) #SECアンチクリプト (1) #ShibaInu (6) #SocialBuzz (1) #技術分析 (1) #トンコイン (3) #トルネードキャッシュ (3) #TornadoCashDev (1) #TornadoCashデベロッパー (1) #UKクリプト (1) #Upsideポテンシャル (1) #USCongress（米国議会 (1) #ワイオミングランド (1) #XRP価格 (1) #XRPupswing (1)

お役立ちリンク

私が役に立ち、共有したいと思ったリンク