クリプトドットイン

暗号に強い人材のためのオルタナティブ・リンクトイン

Analyst Who Called Bitcoin’s Top Correctly Now Predicting The Bottom

-

によって

クリプトドットイン
で

Bitcoin has spent April staging a recovery from its March lows, briefly climbing back above $79,000. However, not everyone is convinced of the rebound, and some analysts believe the move is only a mid-bear-market rally before a deeper correction. 

One such analyst is one that previously predicted a coming peak in July 2025. Now, the same analyst is predicting how far the Bitcoin price still has to fall before it puts in a true bottom.

Analyst Uses Previous Top Model To Predict Bitcoin Bottom

Crypto analyst Killa made a cycle-top prediction of $121,362 back in June 2025. This call was made months before Bitcoin reached its all-time high of $126,100 in October 2025 and it was off by only about 3.9%. Now, using the same analytical framework that generated that call, Killa has turned the model toward the downside.

The principle behind the projection is that each successive Bitcoin market cycle produces a smaller multiple relative to the prior cycle’s bottom, reflecting the maturation of the asset. His data across five cycles shows the high-to-bottom multiple declining from 15.50x in the first cycle to 7.64x, then 6.26x, and then 4.47x in Cycle 4, where Bitcoin peaked at $69,800 before bottoming at $15,600.

Applying the same rate of reduction, Killa projects the current cycle’s multiple at 3.25x, dividing the $126,100 cycle top to arrive at a base bottom target of $38,800.

To account for the 5% variance that offset his top prediction, he added in two upside scenarios of $40,740 and $42,680. Even at the top of that range, Bitcoin would still be well below the $60,000 level that some market participants have cited as the correction bottom. 

Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @KillaXBT On X

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $78,015, meaning a move to $42,680 would still require a drop of about 45%, while a further drop to $38,800 would be close to a 50% correction from current prices.

Three Years Up, One Year Down

Killa’s bottom projection finds support from a separate analysis by analyst CryptoBullet, who approached the question of a bottom from a symmetry standpoint. 

CryptoBullet’s weekly Bitcoin chart characterized the current cycle as a five-wave Elliott Wave advance beginning in late 2022, with Wave 5 completing around the $126,000 high in October 2025. The subsequent correction, labeled as a W-X-Y corrective structure in blue, projects a final Wave Y leg down below $50,000 to $45,000. 

Bitcoin Weekly Chart. Source: @CryptoBullet1 On X

According to the analyst, three years of upward price action from the November 2022 bottom through the 2025 peak cannot reasonably be corrected in less than a year of decline. The current bear phase is shown extending into the second half of 2026 before the bottom structure can be completed. 

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

コメント

コメントを残す

メールアドレスが公開されることはありません。 ※ が付いている欄は必須項目です

最新フィード

人気カテゴリー

ja 日本語
ja 日本語 en_US English ro_RO Română et Eesti ko_KR 한국어 ru_RU Русский de_DE Deutsch es_ES Español zh_CN 简体中文 fr_FR Français zh_TW 繁體中文 pt_PT Português it_IT Italiano pl_PL Polski tr_TR Türkçe nl_NL Nederlands id_ID Bahasa Indonesia el Ελληνικά uk Українська bg_BG Български cs_CZ Čeština fi Suomi hu_HU Magyar lv Latviešu valoda lt_LT Lietuvių kalba nb_NO Norsk bokmål sk_SK Slovenčina sl_SI Slovenščina sv_SE Svenska

ウェブサイトを検索

人気記事

タグ

#AlexeyPertsev (1) #Bidenクリプトバン (1) #Biden選挙 (1) #BinanceVsCoinbase (1) #ビットコイン (437) #BitcoinETF (3) #ビットコイン基礎知識 (1) #ビットコインの取り扱い (1) #Bビットコイン価格 (5) #BitcoinPriceLevel (1) #BitcoinPump (1) #BitcoinReserve (1) #ビットコイン・サージ (1) #Bitcoinトップ (1) #Bitfinex (1) #ビットワイズ (1) #BracebridgeCapital (1) #BRC20トークン (1) #BTC取得 (1) #Bullish予測 (1) #Bullishセンチメント (1) #中国鉱業 (1) #CPプレビュー (1) #CryptoAsset (2) #CryptoBattle (1) #CryptoBoom (1) #CryptoExpert (1) #CryptoInsights (1) #クリプトマニア (1) #CryptoMarket (4) #CryptoPrediction (1) #Crypto予測 (1) 1TP5トリプトレギュレーション (2) #CryptoTakeoff (1) #CryptoTiming (1) #CryptoTips (1) #CryptoTreasury (1) #CryptoUncertainty（暗号の不確実性 (1) #Dデリバティブジャンプ (1) #Dogecoin (73) #Dogecoinゲイン (1) #Dogecoinボリューム (1) #ダッチコート (2) #ECコマース (1) #ElSalvadorビットコイン (1) #Ethereum (69) #EthereumPain (1) #EthereumPrice (1) 1TP5専門家の意見 (1) #Fedレートカット (1) #FiatCurrency (1) #フィナンシャル・インパクト (1) #フィナンシャル・プライバシー (1) #Firmシャットダウン (1) #F凍結アカウント (1) 1TP5自己資金 (1) #InflationData (1) 1TP5投資 (1) 1TP5投資損失 (1) #日本ファーム (1) #法的措置 (1) 1TP5法的影響 (1) #法律 (1) #LightningNetwork (1) #市場分析 (3) #Mマーケットモニタリング (1) #M市場予測 (1) #市場予測 (1) #M市場予測 (1) #Mマーケットサポート (1) #マーケットボラティリティ (1) #マリッジ (1) #MemeCoin (5) #Memeコイン (2) #Miner収益性 (1) #マネーロンダリング (2) #MtGox (4) #北朝鮮暗号 (1) #ノボグラッツ予想 (1) #Priceマイルストーン (1) #P価格予測 (2) #Price質問 (1) #プライスサージ (1) #Prisonセンテンス (1) #QuantAnalysis (1) 1TP5規制圧力 (1) #SECアンチクリプト (1) #ShibaInu (6) #SocialBuzz (1) #技術分析 (1) #トンコイン (3) #トルネードキャッシュ (3) #TornadoCashDev (1) #TornadoCashデベロッパー (1) #UKクリプト (1) #Upsideポテンシャル (1) #USCongress（米国議会 (1) #ワイオミングランド (1) #XRP価格 (1) #XRPupswing (1)

お役立ちリンク

私が役に立ち、共有したいと思ったリンク