クリプトドットイン

暗号に強い人材のためのオルタナティブ・リンクトイン

Analyst Reveals Bitcoin Big Picture, Predicts 50% Crash By EOY

-

によって

クリプトドットイン
で

Bitcoin’s price structure is starting to look less like a clean recovery to $80,000 and more like a battleground between $76,000 and $78,000, where every rally is being tested, and every dip is being watched.

A new technical outlook from a crypto analyst known as Guru is now adding an interesting angle to that uncertainty, outlining a path where Bitcoin could first lure in late buyers before unwinding into a 50% decline before the end of the year.

Next Bitcoin Move

Bitcoin’s recent price action in April has led to bullish momentum slowly creeping in, and many analysts are now looking at bullish price targets at the end of the year. However, in a post shared on the social media platform X, crypto analyst Guru laid out a revised multi-stage roadmap for Bitcoin that culminates in a crash to as low as $30,000 by year-end, a drawdown of as much as 61% from current levels. 

The chart accompanying the post is a weekly timeframe chart that projects the full arc of the move: a compression zone, a rally, and then a terminal decline that would take Bitcoin to price levels last seen in late 2023. 

According to the weekly chart, Bitcoin is currently transitioning into a high-timeframe redistribution phase. Guru’s original prediction anticipated a simpler two-act sequence involving a flush to $55,000 followed by a direct rally to $80,000. That scenario has now been superseded, though the analyst is clear that the broader conclusion has not changed.

ビットコイン

The updated plan introduces a higher-timeframe (HTF) consolidation and redistribution phase first, which is likely to trap traders on both sides. The prediction based on this updated plan is that Bitcoin will reverse soon to find a local bottom in the $62,000-$65,000 zone before staging a rally to $85,000. It is that rally, Guru argues, that is the real danger. “The 85k pump will be the ultimate exit liquidity trap,” the analyst wrote.

A Year-End Slide To $30,000

The most interesting part of the prediction is what is expected to happen once Bitcoin undergoes the projected rally to $85,000. Once the liquidity above is taken and the market exhausts buying pressure, the analyst anticipates a move lower, targeting a broad range between $50,000 on the higher end and $30,000 on the lower end before the end of the year.

Despite the severity of the forecast, Guru has been explicit about what would invalidate it. A weekly close above $98,000 would render the entire bearish scenario void. 

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $77,000, which means a drop to $50,000 would represent a decline of roughly 35%, while a deeper slide to $30,000 would translate to an approximate 61% loss from current levels. On the other hand, a move to the analyst’s invalidation level at $98,000 would require a rally of about 27%.

ビットコイン

コメント

コメントを残す

メールアドレスが公開されることはありません。 ※ が付いている欄は必須項目です

最新フィード

人気カテゴリー

ja 日本語
ja 日本語 en_US English ro_RO Română et Eesti ko_KR 한국어 ru_RU Русский de_DE Deutsch es_ES Español zh_CN 简体中文 fr_FR Français zh_TW 繁體中文 pt_PT Português it_IT Italiano pl_PL Polski tr_TR Türkçe nl_NL Nederlands id_ID Bahasa Indonesia el Ελληνικά uk Українська bg_BG Български cs_CZ Čeština fi Suomi hu_HU Magyar lv Latviešu valoda lt_LT Lietuvių kalba nb_NO Norsk bokmål sk_SK Slovenčina sl_SI Slovenščina sv_SE Svenska

ウェブサイトを検索

人気記事

タグ

#AlexeyPertsev (1) #Bidenクリプトバン (1) #Biden選挙 (1) #BinanceVsCoinbase (1) #ビットコイン (437) #BitcoinETF (3) #ビットコイン基礎知識 (1) #ビットコインの取り扱い (1) #Bビットコイン価格 (5) #BitcoinPriceLevel (1) #BitcoinPump (1) #BitcoinReserve (1) #ビットコイン・サージ (1) #Bitcoinトップ (1) #Bitfinex (1) #ビットワイズ (1) #BracebridgeCapital (1) #BRC20トークン (1) #BTC取得 (1) #Bullish予測 (1) #Bullishセンチメント (1) #中国鉱業 (1) #CPプレビュー (1) #CryptoAsset (2) #CryptoBattle (1) #CryptoBoom (1) #CryptoExpert (1) #CryptoInsights (1) #クリプトマニア (1) #CryptoMarket (4) #CryptoPrediction (1) #Crypto予測 (1) 1TP5トリプトレギュレーション (2) #CryptoTakeoff (1) #CryptoTiming (1) #CryptoTips (1) #CryptoTreasury (1) #CryptoUncertainty（暗号の不確実性 (1) #Dデリバティブジャンプ (1) #Dogecoin (73) #Dogecoinゲイン (1) #Dogecoinボリューム (1) #ダッチコート (2) #ECコマース (1) #ElSalvadorビットコイン (1) #Ethereum (69) #EthereumPain (1) #EthereumPrice (1) 1TP5専門家の意見 (1) #Fedレートカット (1) #FiatCurrency (1) #フィナンシャル・インパクト (1) #フィナンシャル・プライバシー (1) #Firmシャットダウン (1) #F凍結アカウント (1) 1TP5自己資金 (1) #InflationData (1) 1TP5投資 (1) 1TP5投資損失 (1) #日本ファーム (1) #法的措置 (1) 1TP5法的影響 (1) #法律 (1) #LightningNetwork (1) #市場分析 (3) #Mマーケットモニタリング (1) #M市場予測 (1) #市場予測 (1) #M市場予測 (1) #Mマーケットサポート (1) #マーケットボラティリティ (1) #マリッジ (1) #MemeCoin (5) #Memeコイン (2) #Miner収益性 (1) #マネーロンダリング (2) #MtGox (4) #北朝鮮暗号 (1) #ノボグラッツ予想 (1) #Priceマイルストーン (1) #P価格予測 (2) #Price質問 (1) #プライスサージ (1) #Prisonセンテンス (1) #QuantAnalysis (1) 1TP5規制圧力 (1) #SECアンチクリプト (1) #ShibaInu (6) #SocialBuzz (1) #技術分析 (1) #トンコイン (3) #トルネードキャッシュ (3) #TornadoCashDev (1) #TornadoCashデベロッパー (1) #UKクリプト (1) #Upsideポテンシャル (1) #USCongress（米国議会 (1) #ワイオミングランド (1) #XRP価格 (1) #XRPupswing (1)

お役立ちリンク

私が役に立ち、共有したいと思ったリンク