Sell in May and go away is a popular saying in the financial markets, and renowned analyst Merlijn The Trader outlined a historical pattern that could be even more painful for BTC now.<\/p>\n
His targets are quite worrying, with the worst-case scenario predicting a massive plunge to $33,000.<\/p>\n
Following bitcoin\u2019s rejection at $82,000 earlier this week and the subsequent correction to a 15-day low of $78,000, the bearish sentiment in Crypto X skyrocketed, with several analysts outlining<\/a> different scenarios in which BTC could crash further. The latest to hop on the bear bandwagon was Merlijn The Trader, who noted that the cryptocurrency has significantly underperformed in the three previous midterm election years, such as the current one.<\/p>\n According to his data, the asset fell by 61% in 2014, by 65% in 2018, and by 66% four years ago. He warned: \u201cThree cycles. Three dumps. Zero exceptions.\u201d If this pattern is to play out in the current mid-term year, then BTC could plunge to $33,000.<\/p>\n Although there are a few potentially bullish factors now, such as the advancing<\/a> CLARITY Act and some deals between the US and China, Merlijn added that \u201cthe calendar has never been wrong.\u201d<\/p>\n The most brutal pattern in Bitcoin history.<\/p>\n Nobody wants to hear this. But the pattern is perfect. 2014: Sell in May. -61%. Three cycles. Three dumps. Zero exceptions.<\/p>\n 2026\u2026 pic.twitter.com\/jErVlpY4BZ<\/a><\/p>\n \u2014 Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader) May 17, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n In a separate post, Merlijn talked about a different historical pattern that bitcoin could be mimicking now \u2013 the 2021 phase. At the time, BTC experienced similar price moves that eventually led to a bigger crash. He outlined<\/a> the six steps that the cryptocurrency went through at the time, and said the asset could be in the Accumulation phase now (step 4).<\/p>\n If that\u2019s the case, then BTC could be on the verge of another decline. However, this scenario is slightly less bearish as Merlijn\u2019s targets are somewhere between $45,000 and $59,000. The key to this setup playing out is the $78,000 support, which is currently being tested.<\/p>\n If BTC is to lose that level, it could drop to Merlijn\u2019s targets. However, if it manages to hold, then step 4 could be skipped, and the run might be closer than expected.<\/p>\n \u804c\u4f4d $33K Could Be Bitcoin\u2019s Next Stop if History Repeats: Analyst<\/a> \u9996\u6b21\u51fa\u73b0\u5728 \u52a0\u5bc6\u571f\u8c46<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Sell in May and go away is a popular saying in the financial markets, and renowned analyst Merlijn The Trader outlined a historical pattern that could be even more painful for BTC now. His targets are quite worrying, with the worst-case scenario predicting a massive plunge to $33,000. Another 60% Decline Soon? Following bitcoin\u2019s rejection […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":43781,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43779","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-feeds"],"yoast_head":"\n\n
\nMid-term election years. Bitcoin dumps. Every time.<\/p>\n
\n2018: Sell in May. -65%.
\n2022: Sell in May. -66%.<\/p>\nOr Maybe Just $45K<\/h2>\n