cryptd.in

另类 LinkedIn 适合加密人才

TRON’s Futures Map Says “Not Overheated” — Could Another Rally Be Coming?

-

由

cryptd.in
于

TRON’s market momentum has eased after a recent rally that pushed its price above $0.365, with the asset now trading at $0.355, representing a 1.76% drop over the past 24 hours.

This consolidation follows a steady climb in recent weeks that saw the network’s transaction activity and derivatives data draw increased analyst attention.

According to CryptoQuant contributor Burak Kesmeci, the current TRX futures market remains in a neutral position, suggesting that the asset may still have room to advance before approaching a local top.

Futures Market Indicators and Historical Context

Kesmeci’s analysis centers on the TRON Futures Volume Bubble Map, a metric used to gauge periods of overheating in the futures market. Historically, this tool has flagged heightened risk when red-toned “bubbles” appear, marking moments of excessive speculative activity. The last notable instance occurred in early December 2024, when TRX rose from $0.26 to $0.45 before hitting a local peak.

TRON Futures Volume Bubble Map.

At present, Kesmeci notes that the indicator has not entered the high-risk zone, meaning TRX has not yet reached levels of speculative saturation. This, in theory, leaves space for further price increases if current market trends persist.

Futures market analysis like this often helps traders differentiate between rallies supported by organic demand and those driven primarily by leveraged speculation. The neutral reading suggests that current TRX movements could be supported by genuine buying interest rather than excessive short-term leverage.

A balanced outlook, however, would also consider that futures market conditions can shift quickly. If trading volume or open interest begins to rise sharply alongside price, the risk of a pullback could grow. For now, the neutral futures environment combined with moderate spot market activity provides a base for potential incremental gains.

TRON On-Chain Data Reveals Exchange-Linked Transfer Spike

In a separate observation, CryptoQuant analyst CryptoOnchain highlighted unusual network activity on July 19, 2025, when more than 3.426 billion TRX, valued at roughly $1.11 billion, moved across the blockchain in a single day.

A closer breakdown of these transactions indicates that this surge was not the result of organic user demand but was instead tied to operational movements between a small group of large wallets.

TRON transfer history

The data shows that two back-and-forth transfers of 612 million TRX each between two addresses accounted for around 36% of that day’s total value, fitting the pattern of a hot-to-cold wallet rebalance often associated with exchanges.

Additional chains of transfers, including fixed-denomination movements of between 3 million and 7.5 million TRX, also align with common exchange deposit and withdrawal processing.

While over 85% of the day’s total transfer volume was traced to this interconnected wallet cluster, both Arkham and Tronscan list no official ownership labels for the addresses.

Nevertheless, the mirrored transaction flows and their structured nature strongly point toward centralized custody, likely by an exchange or large service provider.

Compared with a similar event in June 2023, the July 19 spike occurred within a broader trend of increasing transactions per second (TPS) and total transaction volume in 2025.

This suggests that while the event itself was operational, TRON’s underlying network activity continues to expand. CryptoOnchain cautions that such operational spikes should be distinguished from genuine adoption surges to avoid overestimating organic growth.

 

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

评论

发送留言

發佈留言必須填寫的電子郵件地址不會公開。 必填欄位標示為 *

最新信息

热门类别

zh_TW 繁體中文
zh_TW 繁體中文 en_US English ro_RO Română et Eesti ko_KR 한국어 ja 日本語 ru_RU Русский de_DE Deutsch es_ES Español zh_CN 简体中文 fr_FR Français pt_PT Português it_IT Italiano pl_PL Polski tr_TR Türkçe nl_NL Nederlands id_ID Bahasa Indonesia el Ελληνικά uk Українська bg_BG Български cs_CZ Čeština fi Suomi hu_HU Magyar lv Latviešu valoda lt_LT Lietuvių kalba nb_NO Norsk bokmål sk_SK Slovenčina sl_SI Slovenščina sv_SE Svenska

搜索网站

热门故事

标签

#AlexeyPertsev (1) #BidenCryptoBan (1) #BidenElection (1) #BinanceVsCoinbase (1) #Bitcoin (377) #BitcoinETF (3) #itcoinFundamentals (1) # 比特币处理 (1) # 比特币价格 (5) # 比特币价格水平 (1) #BitcoinPump (1) #BitcoinReserve (1) #BitcoinSurge (1) #itcoinTop (1) #Bitfinex (1) #Bitwise (1) #BracebridgeCapital (1) #BRC20Tokens (1) #BTC 收购 (1) 1TP5 看涨预测 (1) #BullishSentiment (1) #C 中国矿业 (1) #CPIPreview (1) #CryptoAsset (2) #CryptoBattle (1) #CryptoBoom (1) #CryptoExpert (1) #CryptoInsights (1) #CryptoMania (1) #CryptoMarket (4) #CryptoPrediction (1) #CryptoPredictions (1) #CryptoRegulation (2) #CryptoTakeoff (1) #CryptoTiming (1) #CryptoTips (1) #CryptoTreasury (1) #CryptoUncertainty (1) #DerivativeJump (1) #Dogecoin (65) #ogecoinGains (1) #ogecoinVolume (1) #DutchCourt (2) #ECommerce (1) #El萨尔瓦多比特币 (1) #E以太坊 (64) #EthereumPain (1) #E以太坊价格 (1) #ExpertOpinion (1) #FedRateCut (1) #FiatCurrency (1) #F 财务影响 (1) #F 财务隐私 (1) #FirmShutdown (1) #FrozenAccounts (1) #IllicitFunds (1) #InflationData (1) #Investment (1) #InvestmentLoss (1) #JapaneseFirm (1) #L LegalAction (1) #L 法律影响 (1) #Legislation (1) #LightningNetwork (1) #M 市场分析 (3) #M 市场监测 (1) #M 市场预测 (1) #M 市场预测 (1) #M 市场投影 (1) #M 市场支持 (1) #M 市场波动性 (1) #M 婚姻 (1) #MemeCoin (5) #MemeCoins (2) #Miner 盈利能力 (1) #M 洗钱 (2) #MtGox (3) #朝鲜加密货币 (1) #诺沃格拉茨预测 (1) 1TP5价格里程碑 (1) #P 价格预测 (2) 1TP5价格问题 (1) #PriceSurge (1) #PrisonSentence (1) # 量化分析 (1) #R 监管压力 (1) #SECA Anti-Crypto (1) #ShibaInu (5) #SocialBuzz (1) #T 技术分析 (1) #Toncoin (3) #T 龙卷风现金 (3) #T 龙卷风现金发展项目 (1) #T 龙卷风现金开发者 (1) #UKCrypto (1) #UpsidePotential (1) #USCongress (1) #WyomingLand (1) #XRPPrice (1) #XRPupswing (1)

实用链接

我发现了一些有用的链接，希望与大家分享。