cryptd.in

另类 LinkedIn 适合加密人才

Bitcoin’s MVRV Ratio Nears Key Level—Will This Trigger a Major Reversal?

-

由

cryptd.in
于

Bitcoin’s price has been experiencing a gradual recovery on a micro level, showing a 1% increase over the past 24 hours, bringing it back above $83,000. However, when viewed from a broader perspective, Bitcoin remains in a bearish trend, down 9.3% in the past week and 24.7% from its all-time high (ATH) in January.

This extended downtrend has raised concerns about whether the market is undergoing a deeper correction or if a potential reversal is on the horizon.

Possibility Of A Deeper Correction in Bitcoin

Analysts seem to have been closely monitoring Bitcoin’s market-value-to-realized-value (MVRV) ratio, which serves as a key indicator of whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued based on historical price trends.

CryptoQuant analyst Crypto Dan recently provided insights into Bitcoin’s current market position, noting that the proportion of BTC holdings under one month surged in both March and December 2024, reaching 23% and 24.5%, respectively. This trend mirrors past movements that preceded price corrections.

With Bitcoin’s MVRV ratio now at 1.8, close to the 2024 correction low of 1.71, historical patterns suggest that a deeper decline to the $70,000 range could push the metric to similar levels seen in previous market bottoms.

Key Indicators Suggest a Potential Rebound

Despite the bearish sentiment, Crypto Dan emphasized that market conditions may already be near a turning point. He noted that altcoins have surrendered most of their recent gains, leaving many investors without profits in this cycle.

This indicates that the market has already undergone significant deleveraging, reducing the likelihood of further sharp declines. If no major sell-offs occur, Bitcoin could enter a favorable zone for an upward move, even without a drastic drop to the $70,000 range.

Dan also pointed out that the market is now in the final phase of its upward cycle, undergoing a strong correction that increases both risk and investment difficulty. However, as the market approaches an oversold state, the probability of a rebound also increases.

Dan highlighted that several key factors will determine whether this rebound materializes, including the strength and magnitude of the price recovery, whale activity, and changes in on-chain metrics during the rebound as well as Bitcoin’s correlation with the stock market and broader economic trends.

While the short-term outlook remains uncertain, Dan noted:

Despite the current stagnation, most cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, are in an oversold state, suggesting that a rebound is not far off. However, it is still too early to definitively conclude that the market has entered a full-fledged bear cycle.

Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on TradingView

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

评论

发送留言

發佈留言必須填寫的電子郵件地址不會公開。 必填欄位標示為 *

最新信息

热门类别

zh_TW 繁體中文
zh_TW 繁體中文 en_US English ro_RO Română et Eesti ko_KR 한국어 ja 日本語 ru_RU Русский de_DE Deutsch es_ES Español zh_CN 简体中文 fr_FR Français pt_PT Português it_IT Italiano pl_PL Polski tr_TR Türkçe nl_NL Nederlands id_ID Bahasa Indonesia el Ελληνικά uk Українська bg_BG Български cs_CZ Čeština fi Suomi hu_HU Magyar lv Latviešu valoda lt_LT Lietuvių kalba nb_NO Norsk bokmål sk_SK Slovenčina sl_SI Slovenščina sv_SE Svenska

搜索网站

热门故事

标签

#AlexeyPertsev (1) #BidenCryptoBan (1) #BidenElection (1) #BinanceVsCoinbase (1) #Bitcoin (370) #BitcoinETF (3) #itcoinFundamentals (1) # 比特币处理 (1) # 比特币价格 (5) # 比特币价格水平 (1) #BitcoinPump (1) #BitcoinReserve (1) #BitcoinSurge (1) #itcoinTop (1) #Bitfinex (1) #Bitwise (1) #BracebridgeCapital (1) #BRC20Tokens (1) #BTC 收购 (1) 1TP5 看涨预测 (1) #BullishSentiment (1) #C 中国矿业 (1) #CPIPreview (1) #CryptoAsset (2) #CryptoBattle (1) #CryptoBoom (1) #CryptoExpert (1) #CryptoInsights (1) #CryptoMania (1) #CryptoMarket (4) #CryptoPrediction (1) #CryptoPredictions (1) #CryptoRegulation (2) #CryptoTakeoff (1) #CryptoTiming (1) #CryptoTips (1) #CryptoTreasury (1) #CryptoUncertainty (1) #DerivativeJump (1) #Dogecoin (64) #ogecoinGains (1) #ogecoinVolume (1) #DutchCourt (2) #ECommerce (1) #El萨尔瓦多比特币 (1) #E以太坊 (62) #EthereumPain (1) #E以太坊价格 (1) #ExpertOpinion (1) #FedRateCut (1) #FiatCurrency (1) #F 财务影响 (1) #F 财务隐私 (1) #FirmShutdown (1) #FrozenAccounts (1) #IllicitFunds (1) #InflationData (1) #Investment (1) #InvestmentLoss (1) #JapaneseFirm (1) #L LegalAction (1) #L 法律影响 (1) #Legislation (1) #LightningNetwork (1) #M 市场分析 (3) #M 市场监测 (1) #M 市场预测 (1) #M 市场预测 (1) #M 市场投影 (1) #M 市场支持 (1) #M 市场波动性 (1) #M 婚姻 (1) #MemeCoin (5) #MemeCoins (2) #Miner 盈利能力 (1) #M 洗钱 (2) #MtGox (3) #朝鲜加密货币 (1) #诺沃格拉茨预测 (1) 1TP5价格里程碑 (1) #P 价格预测 (2) 1TP5价格问题 (1) #PriceSurge (1) #PrisonSentence (1) # 量化分析 (1) #R 监管压力 (1) #SECA Anti-Crypto (1) #ShibaInu (5) #SocialBuzz (1) #T 技术分析 (1) #Toncoin (3) #T 龙卷风现金 (3) #T 龙卷风现金发展项目 (1) #T 龙卷风现金开发者 (1) #UKCrypto (1) #UpsidePotential (1) #USCongress (1) #WyomingLand (1) #XRPPrice (1) #XRPupswing (1)

实用链接

我发现了一些有用的链接，希望与大家分享。