{"id":41646,"date":"2026-04-29T11:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-29T11:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/250k-bitcoin-in-2026-analyst-warns-bulls-to-stop-with-the-mushrooms\/"},"modified":"2026-04-29T11:00:00","modified_gmt":"2026-04-29T11:00:00","slug":"250k-bitcoin-in-2026-analyst-warns-bulls-to-stop-with-the-mushrooms","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/zh\/250k-bitcoin-in-2026-analyst-warns-bulls-to-stop-with-the-mushrooms\/","title":{"rendered":"$250K Bitcoin In 2026? Analyst Warns Bulls To \u2018Stop With The Mushrooms\u2019"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin could fall to around $30,000 before the year is out \u2014 at least according to one widely followed chart analyst. That bleak projection, drawn from a pattern tied to <a href=\"https:\/\/dosomething.org\/article\/everything-you-need-to-know-about-the-midterm-elections?campaignid=23433710335&amp;adgroupid=&amp;adid=&amp;gad_source=1&amp;gad_campaignid=23433741313&amp;gbraid=0AAAAAD-lbs3p4d0LEiU7hcQnVAHwJEa3m&amp;gclid=Cj0KCQjw2MbPBhCSARIsAP3jP9wBDQwk50ieeShZ9RPvsKZoOTm2ubtXxhNhgtFG9mXF7slqzTfbpe0aAnFsEALw_wcB\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">US midterm election years<\/a>, is adding fresh weight to a growing skepticism about whether Bitcoin can reach $250,000 in 2026.<\/p>\n<h2>Pattern Tied To Election Years Raises Red Flags<\/h2>\n<p>Analyst Merlijn The Trader pointed to a recurring tendency for Bitcoin to <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/MerlijnTrader\/status\/2048779208185303097\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">sell off sharply in May<\/a> of midterm election years. In 2014, Bitcoin dropped 60%. In 2018, it fell 65%. In 2022, the decline hit 66%.<\/p>\n<p>Each of those drops started around May. If 2026 follows the same script, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coingecko.com\/en\/coins\/bitcoin\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01<\/a> \u2014 currently trading near $77,000 \u2014 could lose more than 60% of its value, landing somewhere close to $30,000.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">THREE WORDS. THREE CYCLES. ZERO EXCEPTIONS.<\/p>\n<p>Sell. In. May.<\/p>\n<p>But only in mid-term election years.<\/p>\n<p>2014: -61%. 2018: -65%. 2022: -66%.<\/p>\n<p>2026: mid-term year. -60.73% is pointing to $30K.<br \/>\nMay is approaching.<\/p>\n<p>The chart doesn\u2019t lie.<br \/>\nThe calendar doesn\u2019t either. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/qUshNbIHPN\" rel=\"nofollow\">pic.twitter.com\/qUshNbIHPN<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MerlijnTrader\/status\/2048779208185303097?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\">April 27, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Capital Group analysts have noted that midterm elections tend to increase <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2026\/apr\/29\/us-tough-spot-deal-highlights-failures-iran-war-strait-of-hormuz-nuclear-weapon\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">market uncertainty<\/a>, as campaign activity picks up in the spring and investors pull back from riskier assets. That environment, they say, historically pushes people toward caution.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Bitcoin is already trading roughly 40% below its October 2025 record high of approximately $126,000. Despite that slide, high-profile bulls like billionaire Tim Draper and Fundstrat\u2019s Tom Lee have not walked back their $250,000 year-end target \u2014 a price that would require the cryptocurrency to more than triple from where it sits today.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Bitcoiners<br \/>\nThose of you predicting $250,000 in 2026 need to stop with the mushrooms<br \/>\nThis is called a channel <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\">$BTC<\/a><br \/>\nWhile it does not preclude further price gains, it is NOT a bullish bottoming pattern<br \/>\nThe Factor Report reports on classical chart analysis <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/6nRit1xsVp\" rel=\"nofollow\">https:\/\/t.co\/6nRit1xsVp<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ApMM46KFla\" rel=\"nofollow\">pic.twitter.com\/ApMM46KFla<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 The Factor Report (@PeterLBrandt) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/PeterLBrandt\/status\/2048911025471467817?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\">April 27, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-893696\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/a_f88538.png?resize=1024%2C609\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"609\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Peter Brandt Tells Bulls To Put Down The Mushrooms<\/h2>\n<p>Veteran futures trader Peter Brandt has been blunter than most. Reacting to the $250,000 predictions, Brandt posted on social media: \u201cThose of you predicting $250,000 in 2026 need to <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/PeterLBrandt\/status\/2048911025471467817\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">stop with the mushrooms.\u201d<\/a><\/p>\n<p>He pointed to what he described as a bear flag channel forming on Bitcoin\u2019s daily chart \u2014 not a bottoming pattern, he stressed, but a continuation of the existing downtrend.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/SiI0r8TZ\/\" alt=\"\" width=\"1847\" height=\"1027\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Based on the setup, BTC tested resistance near $79,500 before showing signs of pulling back. A move down to the flag\u2019s lower boundary, around $69,000, is possible in May if selling pressure returns. A more severe breakdown below that line, Brandt warned, could push Bitcoin under $50,000.<\/p>\n<p>Halving Cycle Data Suggests The Peak May Already Be In<\/p>\n<p>The halving cycle history makes the bear case harder to dismiss. Bitcoin\u2019s price peaks have historically arrived 12 to 18 months after each halving event. After the 2012 halving, the peak came in 12 months. After 2016, it arrived in 17. After 2020, it took 18 months.<\/p>\n<p>The most recent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coingecko.com\/en\/coins\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-halving\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">halving<\/a> happened in April 2024. Bitcoin hit its all-time high of $126,000 in October 2025 \u2014 right at the 17 to 18-month mark. Now, more than 24 months past that halving, the price sits around $77,000 and is still declining. That timeline, analysts say, lines up closely with prior cycle peaks, suggesting the top for this cycle may already be behind us.<\/p>\n<p>Not everyone is ready to call it a bear market, though. Analysts at Bernstein have pointed to a potential recovery toward the $100,000 to $150,000 range, a more measured view that neither chases the $250,000 target nor surrenders to the most bearish projections.<\/p>\n<p><em>Featured image from MetaAI, chart from TradingView<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin could fall to around $30,000 before the year is out \u2014 at least according to one widely followed chart analyst. That bleak projection, drawn from a pattern tied to US midterm election years, is adding fresh weight to a growing skepticism about whether Bitcoin can reach $250,000 in 2026. Pattern Tied To Election Years [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":41648,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41646","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-feeds"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>$250K Bitcoin In 2026? Analyst Warns Bulls To \u2018Stop With The Mushrooms\u2019 - cryptd.in<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/zh\/250k-bitcoin-in-2026-analyst-warns-bulls-to-stop-with-the-mushrooms\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"$250K Bitcoin In 2026? Analyst Warns Bulls To \u2018Stop With The Mushrooms\u2019 - cryptd.in\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bitcoin could fall to around $30,000 before the year is out \u2014 at least according to one widely followed chart analyst. That bleak projection, drawn from a pattern tied to US midterm election years, is adding fresh weight to a growing skepticism about whether Bitcoin can reach $250,000 in 2026. 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