cryptd.in

另类 LinkedIn 适合加密人才

Ethereum Price Analysis: Bullish Setup at Risk if ETH Falls Below This Key Level

-

由

cryptd.in
于

Ethereum remains in a range phase following the recent market rebound, but continues to hold above key institutional demand zones. The market has entered a period of consolidation between structural supports and resistances, suggesting that the next decisive move will likely be driven by liquidity displacement from this range.

Technical Analysis

By Shayan

The Daily Chart

On the daily timeframe, Ethereum continues to trade between two major zones: the institutional supply area around $4.6K–$4.7K and the institutional demand zone near $3.4K–$3.5K. After losing the channel’s lower trendline support earlier this month, the asset has now retested it from below, confirming it as resistance.

The structure suggests that Ethereum is currently in a mid-range equilibrium phase, where neither buyers nor sellers have clear control. The 100-day MA, which previously provided dynamic support, has now flipped into a resistance zone near $4.1K–$4.2K, while the 200-day MA near $3.1K remains the last line of structural defence.

As long as the price remains above the $3.4K institutional demand, Ethereum’s macro trend stays intact. However, failure to maintain this level could expose the market to a deeper retracement toward the $3.0K–$2.9K liquidity cluster, where the 200-day MA and prior accumulation base converge.

The 4-Hour Chart

The 4-hour structure reveals a descending wedge pattern, forming after a sharp rejection from the $4.2K breakdown zone. The repeated rejections at this confluence of descending and ascending trendlines reflect the ongoing tug-of-war between short-term buyers and sellers.

At the same time, the lower boundary of the wedge aligns closely with the broader institutional demand zone, suggesting that Ethereum is approaching a point of compression where volatility expansion is imminent.

If the price breaks above the descending trendline and closes above the $4K–$4.1K resistance, it could confirm a reversal, targeting $4.4K–$4.6K. Conversely, a breakdown below $3.7K would likely trigger a deeper decline toward $3.4K,  the same zone that underpins the broader bullish structure. Until confirmation occurs, Ethereum remains range-bound, oscillating between structural supply and demand.

Sentiment Analysis

By Shayan

Recent on-chain data points to a renewed tightening in Ethereum’s market structure. Since mid-October, two significant dynamics have emerged simultaneously: exchange reserves have declined sharply, while average spot order sizes have increasingly been dominated by large whale transactions.

Following October 15, ETH’s price has remained relatively stable just below the $4K level, but the underlying market composition has shifted meaningfully. Whale-sized spot orders (green clusters) have expanded, signalling renewed activity from deep-pocketed participants, while the amount of Ethereum held on exchanges, measured in USD terms, has dropped to one of the lowest levels of 2025.

This combination, shrinking exchange reserves and growing whale spot activity, has historically indicated strategic accumulation by institutional or high-net-worth investors. With liquidity thinning across exchanges, even moderate inflows of new demand could produce amplified price reactions, as reduced sell-side availability magnifies volatility to the upside.

Ethereum now appears to be entering another supply squeeze phase, echoing the quiet but powerful accumulation period of late 2020. During that cycle, consistent spot buying and exchange outflows preceded one of ETH’s strongest multi-month rallies. If macro conditions stabilise and ETF-related inflows return, the current structural tightening could serve as the foundation for Ethereum’s next major upward cycle.

职位 Ethereum Price Analysis: Bullish Setup at Risk if ETH Falls Below This Key Level 首次出现在 加密土豆.

评论

发表回复

您的邮箱地址不会被公开。 必填项已用 * 标注

最新信息

热门类别

zh_CN 简体中文
zh_CN 简体中文 en_US English ro_RO Română et Eesti ko_KR 한국어 ja 日本語 ru_RU Русский de_DE Deutsch es_ES Español fr_FR Français zh_TW 繁體中文 pt_PT Português it_IT Italiano pl_PL Polski tr_TR Türkçe nl_NL Nederlands id_ID Bahasa Indonesia el Ελληνικά uk Українська bg_BG Български cs_CZ Čeština fi Suomi hu_HU Magyar lv Latviešu valoda lt_LT Lietuvių kalba nb_NO Norsk bokmål sk_SK Slovenčina sl_SI Slovenščina sv_SE Svenska

搜索网站

热门故事

标签

#AlexeyPertsev (1) #BidenCryptoBan (1) #BidenElection (1) #BinanceVsCoinbase (1) #Bitcoin (402) #BitcoinETF (3) #itcoinFundamentals (1) # 比特币处理 (1) # 比特币价格 (5) # 比特币价格水平 (1) #BitcoinPump (1) #BitcoinReserve (1) #BitcoinSurge (1) #itcoinTop (1) #Bitfinex (1) #Bitwise (1) #BracebridgeCapital (1) #BRC20Tokens (1) #BTC 收购 (1) 1TP5 看涨预测 (1) #BullishSentiment (1) #C 中国矿业 (1) #CPIPreview (1) #CryptoAsset (2) #CryptoBattle (1) #CryptoBoom (1) #CryptoExpert (1) #CryptoInsights (1) #CryptoMania (1) #CryptoMarket (4) #CryptoPrediction (1) #CryptoPredictions (1) #CryptoRegulation (2) #CryptoTakeoff (1) #CryptoTiming (1) #CryptoTips (1) #CryptoTreasury (1) #CryptoUncertainty (1) #DerivativeJump (1) #Dogecoin (72) #ogecoinGains (1) #ogecoinVolume (1) #DutchCourt (2) #ECommerce (1) #El萨尔瓦多比特币 (1) #E以太坊 (65) #EthereumPain (1) #E以太坊价格 (1) #ExpertOpinion (1) #FedRateCut (1) #FiatCurrency (1) #F 财务影响 (1) #F 财务隐私 (1) #FirmShutdown (1) #FrozenAccounts (1) #IllicitFunds (1) #InflationData (1) #Investment (1) #InvestmentLoss (1) #JapaneseFirm (1) #L LegalAction (1) #L 法律影响 (1) #Legislation (1) #LightningNetwork (1) #M 市场分析 (3) #M 市场监测 (1) #M 市场预测 (1) #M 市场预测 (1) #M 市场投影 (1) #M 市场支持 (1) #M 市场波动性 (1) #M 婚姻 (1) #MemeCoin (5) #MemeCoins (2) #Miner 盈利能力 (1) #M 洗钱 (2) #MtGox (4) #朝鲜加密货币 (1) #诺沃格拉茨预测 (1) 1TP5价格里程碑 (1) #P 价格预测 (2) 1TP5价格问题 (1) #PriceSurge (1) #PrisonSentence (1) # 量化分析 (1) #R 监管压力 (1) #SECA Anti-Crypto (1) #ShibaInu (5) #SocialBuzz (1) #T 技术分析 (1) #Toncoin (3) #T 龙卷风现金 (3) #T 龙卷风现金发展项目 (1) #T 龙卷风现金开发者 (1) #UKCrypto (1) #UpsidePotential (1) #USCongress (1) #WyomingLand (1) #XRPPrice (1) #XRPupswing (1)

实用链接

我发现了一些有用的链接，希望与大家分享。