cryptd.in

另类 LinkedIn 适合加密人才

Bitcoin Eyes Gold’s Crown As Institutional Money Quietly Shifts

-

由

cryptd.in
于

Wall Street’s biggest gold fund saw something unusual recently — a single-day outflow of $3 billion from SPDR Gold Shares, a number that dwarfed any comparable daily exit over the prior two years by more than 200%.

The $3 billion single-day outflow from SPDR Gold Shares — a US gold-backed ETF trading under the ticker GLD — was flagged by the Kobeissi Letter as exceeding any comparable daily exit over the prior two years by more than 200%.

On the same side of the ledger, 比特币 exchange-traded funds recorded over $900 million in net inflows over the 30 days ending March 11, swinging from close to $2 billion outflow the month before.

A Ratio To Watch

The Bitcoin-to-gold ratio has pulled back to a support zone near 12-13 — a level that blocked further gains in 2017, then flipped to support in 2022 and 2023.

Analysts say that history gives the current price level added weight. Michaël van de Poppe, founder of MN Capital, points to a bullish divergence forming between the ratio and the relative strength index on the daily chart.

In plain terms, that means selling pressure appears to be fading even as prices have stayed under stress. Whether that signal holds is another matter, but it has drawn attention from traders tracking Bitcoin’s long-term standing against gold.

The shift in ETF holdings reinforces the picture. Bitcoin ETF balances improved by roughly 12,900 BTC in the last monthly timeframe, while gold ETF holdings fell by nearly 800,000 ounces during a similar window. Capital appears to be moving, even if slowly.

Institutions Are Coming, Just Not Yet In Full

Binance Research flagged the current stretch of market volatility as what it called an “opportunity within risk” for Bitcoin.

Bitcoin has traded in step with oil and US equities recently, moving alongside broader macro assets as the US-Israel and Iran conflict has kept global markets on edge. Despite that turbulence, institutional interest has not dried up.

US spot ETFs now account for roughly 9% of total Bitcoin trading volume. That sounds modest — and it is. In US equity markets, ETFs account for 30-40% of total trading volume. The gap tells its own story about how much room remains for institutional participation to grow.

History Offers A Cautionary But Compelling Pattern

Midterm election years have not been kind to risk assets. The S&P 500 has averaged a peak-to-trough drop of 16% during those cycles.

Bitcoin’s drawdowns have been steeper, averaging around 56%. But the 12 months after midterm elections have, without exception since 1939, produced positive returns for the S&P 500, averaging 19% gains.

Bitcoin, with only three post-midterm years on record, has averaged 54% gains across all three.

Reports from Binance Research also identified $78,000 as the level Bitcoin would need to reclaim to signal a broader trend reversal.

BTC was trading around $71,500 at the time of publication. The distance between the two numbers is not enormous, but in a market moving this quickly, it is not small either.

Featured image from Incrementum, chart from TradingView

评论

发表回复

您的邮箱地址不会被公开。 必填项已用 * 标注

最新信息

热门类别

zh_CN 简体中文
zh_CN 简体中文 en_US English ro_RO Română et Eesti ko_KR 한국어 ja 日本語 ru_RU Русский de_DE Deutsch es_ES Español fr_FR Français zh_TW 繁體中文 pt_PT Português it_IT Italiano pl_PL Polski tr_TR Türkçe nl_NL Nederlands id_ID Bahasa Indonesia el Ελληνικά uk Українська bg_BG Български cs_CZ Čeština fi Suomi hu_HU Magyar lv Latviešu valoda lt_LT Lietuvių kalba nb_NO Norsk bokmål sk_SK Slovenčina sl_SI Slovenščina sv_SE Svenska

搜索网站

热门故事

标签

#AlexeyPertsev (1) #BidenCryptoBan (1) #BidenElection (1) #BinanceVsCoinbase (1) #Bitcoin (426) #BitcoinETF (3) #itcoinFundamentals (1) # 比特币处理 (1) # 比特币价格 (5) # 比特币价格水平 (1) #BitcoinPump (1) #BitcoinReserve (1) #BitcoinSurge (1) #itcoinTop (1) #Bitfinex (1) #Bitwise (1) #BracebridgeCapital (1) #BRC20Tokens (1) #BTC 收购 (1) 1TP5 看涨预测 (1) #BullishSentiment (1) #C 中国矿业 (1) #CPIPreview (1) #CryptoAsset (2) #CryptoBattle (1) #CryptoBoom (1) #CryptoExpert (1) #CryptoInsights (1) #CryptoMania (1) #CryptoMarket (4) #CryptoPrediction (1) #CryptoPredictions (1) #CryptoRegulation (2) #CryptoTakeoff (1) #CryptoTiming (1) #CryptoTips (1) #CryptoTreasury (1) #CryptoUncertainty (1) #DerivativeJump (1) #Dogecoin (73) #ogecoinGains (1) #ogecoinVolume (1) #DutchCourt (2) #ECommerce (1) #El萨尔瓦多比特币 (1) #E以太坊 (69) #EthereumPain (1) #E以太坊价格 (1) #ExpertOpinion (1) #FedRateCut (1) #FiatCurrency (1) #F 财务影响 (1) #F 财务隐私 (1) #FirmShutdown (1) #FrozenAccounts (1) #IllicitFunds (1) #InflationData (1) #Investment (1) #InvestmentLoss (1) #JapaneseFirm (1) #L LegalAction (1) #L 法律影响 (1) #Legislation (1) #LightningNetwork (1) #M 市场分析 (3) #M 市场监测 (1) #M 市场预测 (1) #M 市场预测 (1) #M 市场投影 (1) #M 市场支持 (1) #M 市场波动性 (1) #M 婚姻 (1) #MemeCoin (5) #MemeCoins (2) #Miner 盈利能力 (1) #M 洗钱 (2) #MtGox (4) #朝鲜加密货币 (1) #诺沃格拉茨预测 (1) 1TP5价格里程碑 (1) #P 价格预测 (2) 1TP5价格问题 (1) #PriceSurge (1) #PrisonSentence (1) # 量化分析 (1) #R 监管压力 (1) #SECA Anti-Crypto (1) #ShibaInu (5) #SocialBuzz (1) #T 技术分析 (1) #Toncoin (3) #T 龙卷风现金 (3) #T 龙卷风现金发展项目 (1) #T 龙卷风现金开发者 (1) #UKCrypto (1) #UpsidePotential (1) #USCongress (1) #WyomingLand (1) #XRPPrice (1) #XRPupswing (1)

实用链接

我发现了一些有用的链接，希望与大家分享。