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Ripple Price Analysis: Weakening XRP Momentum Raises Risk of a Sub-$1 Drop

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XRP remains under pressure across both its USDT and BTC trading pairs, with the broader market structure still favoring sellers. While the token has managed to stabilize above nearby support on the dollar chart, its Bitcoin pair continues to print lower highs and lower lows, highlighting persistent relative weakness.

Ripple Price Analysis: The USDT Pair

The daily chart shows XRP trading around $1.08 after an extended decline within a well-defined descending channel. Although the asset has recently moved sideways instead of extending its losses, the broader trend remains bearish as it continues to trade below both the 100-day and 200-day moving averages. These levels are also sloping downward, reinforcing the prevailing negative momentum.

Following the sharp breakdown in June, XRP has established a consolidation range between the $1 support zone and the $1.25 resistance area. Buyers have repeatedly defended the lower boundary, but every recovery attempt has been rejected before reclaiming the declining 100-day moving average or breaking above the channel’s higher boundary, indicating that bullish momentum remains limited.

A breakout above the $1.25 resistance would be the first sign that buyers are regaining control and could expose the descending channel’s upper boundary as the next major hurdle. Until then, the broader structure continues to favor further downside, with a loss of the $1 support opening the door toward significantly lower demand zones.

The RSI is hovering near the neutral 50 level, reflecting the current balance between buyers and sellers after weeks of heavy selling pressure. However, without a decisive bullish breakout, the indicator does not yet suggest a meaningful shift in trend.

The BTC Pair

The XRP/BTC daily chart paints an even weaker picture. The pair has remained inside a long-term descending channel for nearly a year while consistently trading beneath both the 100-day and 200-day moving averages, highlighting sustained underperformance against Bitcoin.

After several failed recovery attempts during May and June, XRP/BTC has finally dropped below the key horizontal support around 1,720 sats. This level has repeatedly attracted buyers over the past few months, but each rebound has produced another lower high, signaling that selling pressure continues to dominate.

On the upside, the next important resistance sits around the 1,850 sats region, where previous support has turned into resistance. A move above this area would improve the short-term outlook, but the descending channel and the 200-day moving average near 2,000 sats remain the primary barriers to a broader trend reversal.

Meanwhile, the RSI remains below the midpoint, suggesting that momentum still favors the sellers. Unless XRP/BTC can reclaim key resistance levels and break its long-term bearish structure, the pair appears vulnerable to another test of the channel’s lower boundary, which is now located around 1,500 sats.

 

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