Around 85,500 Bitcoin options contracts will expire on Friday, May 29, with a notional value of roughly $6.3 billion. This event is larger than usual for the end of the month, so it may affect spot markets.<\/p>\n
Crypto markets have been in decline all week, with around $120 billion leaving the space as Bitcoin continues to weaken and Ether gets crushed.<\/p>\n
Escalation of US military action in the Middle East has pushed investors into panic mode, and the sell-off has accelerated.<\/p>\n
This week\u2019s batch of Bitcoin options contracts has a put\/call ratio of 0.85, meaning that sellers of longs and shorts are pretty evenly matched. Max pain is around $75,000, according to Coinglass, which is a little higher than current spot prices, so some could be out of the money on expiry.<\/p>\n
Open interest (OI), or the value or number of Bitcoin options contracts yet to expire, remains highest at the $80,000 strike price on Deribit, with $1.7 billion, but short sellers still have $1.2 billion in OI at $60,000. Total BTC options OI across all exchanges has been declining recently, and is at $37.5 billion, according to Coinglass.<\/p>\n
Although Bitcoin has fallen to a \u201cvery dangerous level,\u201d implied volatility (IV) has not risen significantly, reported derivatives provider Greeks Live on Thursday.<\/p>\n
Under these circumstances, today\u2019s expiry appears likely to \u201csignificantly alter the current options position structure,\u201d they added.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe market as a whole is still betting on support, and large investors\u2019 concerns about the risk of a breakout have not increased significantly.\u201d<\/p>\n
\nBTC\u2019s price has begun to break below the Gex concentration zone, and the resistance from open interest will continue to weaken. Meanwhile, since Gex is concentrated around $2,000, ETH has also broken below the Gex resistance level.<\/p>\n
Although BTC has fallen to a very dangerous\u2026 pic.twitter.com\/INeioAIqMP<\/a><\/p>\n
\u2014 Greeks.live (@GreeksLive) May 28, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n
In addition to today\u2019s batch of Bitcoin options, around 650,000 Ethereum contracts are also expiring, with a notional value of $1.3 billion, max pain at $2,200, and a put\/call ratio of 0.77. Total ETH options OI across all exchanges is around $6.9 billion.<\/p>\n
This brings the total crypto options expiry notional value to around $7.6 billion, the largest event for many weeks.<\/p>\n
Spot Market Outlook<\/h2>\n
Markets have been falling<\/a> all week, with total capitalization dipping to $2.55 trillion on Friday morning in Asia, their lowest level since April 13.<\/p>\n
BTC managed to recover $73,000 after falling below it twice on Thursday, but its market structure remains weak and further losses look likely.<\/p>\n
ETH had reclaimed $2,000 at the time of writing, but also looked<\/a> very weak and deep in bear market territory.<\/p>\n
Crypto could be further pressured by US inflation, which increased at its fastest pace in three years in April as measured by this week\u2019s PCE report.<\/p>\n
Inl\u00e4gget Will Crypto Markets Fall Further When $6.3B Bitcoin Options Expire?<\/a> publicerades f\u00f6rst p\u00e5 CryptoPotato<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Around 85,500 Bitcoin options contracts will expire on Friday, May 29, with a notional value of roughly $6.3 billion. This event is larger than usual for the end of the month, so it may affect spot markets. Crypto markets have been in decline all week, with around $120 billion leaving the space as Bitcoin continues […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":45254,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45252","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-feeds"],"yoast_head":"\n
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