{"id":41774,"date":"2026-04-30T08:00:33","date_gmt":"2026-04-30T08:00:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/fidelity-flags-bitcoin-price-zone-that-historically-marked-accumulation\/"},"modified":"2026-04-30T08:00:33","modified_gmt":"2026-04-30T08:00:33","slug":"fidelity-flags-bitcoin-price-zone-that-historically-marked-accumulation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/sv\/fidelity-flags-bitcoin-price-zone-that-historically-marked-accumulation\/","title":{"rendered":"Fidelity Flags Bitcoin Price Zone That Historically Marked Accumulation"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Fidelity Digital Assets says Bitcoin\u2019s latest drawdown has pushed the market into a zone that has historically aligned with accumulation phases, even as its momentum signal remains negative and broader crypto risk appetite stays narrow.<\/p>\n<p>In its Signals <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/DigitalAssets\/status\/2049480838820093992\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Report<\/a> Q2 2026, Fidelity\u2019s research team described a market still working through a corrective phase rather than entering a broad-based expansion. Bitcoin remains the dominant source of unrealized profitability across the digital asset complex, while other major assets continue to stabilize after a sharp reset in Q1.<\/p>\n<h2>Fidelity Says Bitcoin Looks Undervalued<\/h2>\n<p>The report\u2019s clearest Bitcoin price signal comes from the asset\u2019s \u201cYardstick,\u201d a valuation framework that compares Bitcoin\u2019s market capitalization to hash rate. Fidelity rated the metric positive, noting that falling prices and a pullback in hash rate have pushed the indicator into what it calls an \u201cundervalued\u201d zone.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHistorically, this undervalued zone has aligned with accumulation phases and relative bottoms,\u201d the report stated.<\/p>\n<p>According to Fidelity, Bitcoin spent 71 of the previous 91 days, or 78% of the period, below negative one standard deviation of the Yardstick\u2019s mean. The condition first appeared in October 2025 and was amplified by two cold-weather events in the United States that temporarily curtailed mining activity as operators reduced power usage to support local grid stability.<\/p>\n<p>That nuance matters. Fidelity does not frame the hash-rate decline purely as a sign of deteriorating miner confidence. The report said some analysts have linked the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-miners-ai-shift-new-overhang\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">decline to miners shifting toward AI<\/a> workloads, but argued the move could also reflect demand-response programs, especially in regions such as Texas where miners routinely power down during peak grid demand.<\/p>\n<p>The price backdrop remains difficult. Fidelity\u2019s momentum signal for Bitcoin turned negative on October 18, 2025, when BTC traded near $107,000. Since then, Bitcoin has fallen roughly 36%, with most of Q1 2026 spent in a defined range between $62,500 and $76,022. The firm said that pattern is more consistent with consolidation than a renewed trend.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis signal is not designed to identify precise tops or bottoms,\u201d Fidelity wrote, adding that the current reading points to stabilization rather than fresh upside momentum.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin\u2019s NUPL score also reflects a cautious market. Fidelity said BTC\u2019s net <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/nearly-7m-bitcoin-now-sitting-at-a-loss-highest-unrealized-pain-since-january-2024\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">unrealized profit\/loss<\/a> stood at 0.21 at the end of Q1 2026, placing investors in the \u201cHope-Fear\u201d zone. That reading suggests some holders remain in profit, but the market has not yet established broad conviction that a durable bottom is in place.<\/p>\n<p>The historical setup is more constructive. Fidelity found that prior periods when Bitcoin\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-nupl-hope-fear-region-what-happens-next\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">NUPL<\/a> hovered around 0.21, plus or minus 0.01, coincided with a median one-year return of 63% and a three-year compound annual growth rate of 74%. The firm emphasized, however, that these historical relationships may weaken or fail to persist, particularly when macro conditions dominate digital asset flows.<\/p>\n<p>Separately, Fidelity\u2019s Jurrien Timmer pointed to a more tactical Bitcoin setup, sharing a chart that shows BTC testing the upper boundary of what he described as a potential bear flag. The chart places Bitcoin near $79,486 after its rebound from the February low around $60,033, with momentum indicators moving back into overbought territory.<\/p>\n<p>Timmer framed the current setup as an important technical test. \u201cTechnical Analysis 101 states that when bear market rallies get overbought, it\u2019s usually the kiss of death and time to sell,\u201d he wrote. \u201cHowever, during bull markets overbought momentum means that the market is strong and likely to stay strong.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" class=\"size-full wp-image-893859\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/HHAH5AaakAAEs9S-1.png?resize=853%2C483\" alt=\"Bitcoin price analysis\" width=\"853\" height=\"483\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/p>\n<p>His conclusion sharpened the price question raised by Fidelity\u2019s broader report: whether Bitcoin is still trapped in a corrective structure or beginning to transition into a new bull phase. \u201cIf Bitcoin cannot be pulled down by this current combination of overbought momentum and trendline resistance, then this is an emerging bull market and not a bear market rally,\u201d Timmer said, adding that this has been his \u201chunch all along\u201d and \u201cmay be about to get confirmed.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>At press time, BTC traded at $76,036.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" class=\"size-full wp-image-893861\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/BTCUSDT_2026-04-30_09-43-15.png?resize=1024%2C502\" alt=\"Bitcoin price chart\" width=\"1024\" height=\"502\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fidelity Digital Assets says Bitcoin\u2019s latest drawdown has pushed the market into a zone that has historically aligned with accumulation phases, even as its momentum signal remains negative and broader crypto risk appetite stays narrow. In its Signals Report Q2 2026, Fidelity\u2019s research team described a market still working through a corrective phase rather than [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":41776,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-41774","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-feeds"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Fidelity Flags Bitcoin Price Zone That Historically Marked Accumulation - cryptd.in<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/sv\/fidelity-flags-bitcoin-price-zone-that-historically-marked-accumulation\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sv_SE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Fidelity Flags Bitcoin Price Zone That Historically Marked Accumulation - cryptd.in\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Fidelity Digital Assets says Bitcoin\u2019s latest drawdown has pushed the market into a zone that has historically aligned with accumulation phases, even as its momentum signal remains negative and broader crypto risk appetite stays narrow. 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