{"id":21199,"date":"2025-04-09T01:00:53","date_gmt":"2025-04-09T01:00:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/is-74000-the-bottom-for-bitcoin-cmt-certified-analyst-says-38000-42000-is-coming\/"},"modified":"2025-04-09T01:00:53","modified_gmt":"2025-04-09T01:00:53","slug":"is-74000-the-bottom-for-bitcoin-cmt-certified-analyst-says-38000-42000-is-coming","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/sk\/is-74000-the-bottom-for-bitcoin-cmt-certified-analyst-says-38000-42000-is-coming\/","title":{"rendered":"Is $74,000 The Bottom For Bitcoin? CMT-Certified Analyst Says $38,000-$42,000 Is Coming"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-dips-below-75k-as-markets-tremble-whats-going-on\/amp\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \"> Bitcoin (BTC) price crash to $74,000<\/a> has left traders<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/runecrypto_\/status\/1909189633981718720?s=46\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\"> speculating<\/a> whether the cryptocurrency has finally hit a bottom. However, a CMT-certified analyst suggests that Bitcoin\u2019s price correction is far from over. He has <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/tonythebullBTC\/status\/1908916335901364368\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">predicted<\/a> an even deeper pullback to $38,000 \u2013 $42,000, which he identifies as Bitcoin\u2019s final price bottom.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>In a detailed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-poised-for-blow-off-top-elliott-wave-analysis-suggests-new-ath-of-170000\/amp\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">Elliott Wave-based chart analysis<\/a>, CMT-certified technical analyst Tony Severino outlines a classic <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/bitcoin-4th-wave-ends-with-price-crash-to-91000-5th-wave-shows-210000-is-coming\/amp\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">5-wave impulsive structure<\/a> that appears to have completed its final leg near $85,000. Severino\u2019s analysis highlights that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/analysis\/btc\/bitcoin-price-crashes-hard-77k\/amp\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">Bitcoin\u2019s latest decline<\/a> to $74,000 is merely the start of a broader ABC corrective pattern, potentially driving the cryptocurrency down to a bottom in the range of $38,000 \u2013 $42,000.<\/p>\n<h2>New Bitcoin Price Bottom Incoming<\/h2>\n<p>In Bitcoin\u2019s 5-wave impulse structure, Wave 1 began with a sharp bear market low, followed by Wave 2, a corrective pullback. Wave 3 marked the strongest upward move, subdivided into five smaller waves (i to v). After the market paused briefly for a pullback in Wave 4, Wave 5 kicked off with a final push toward a peak near $85,000.<\/p>\n<p>Following the top of Wave 5, Bitcoin\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin-falls-flat-examining-a-rare-bull-market-corrective-pattern\/amp\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">ABC corrective structure<\/a> began, marked by the red line on the chart. According to the analyst, the cryptocurrency is currently completing Wave A of this corrective pattern, which is expected to bottom out near $62,000 \u2013 $65,000 by June 2025. This price range coincides with the previous main correction zone around Wave 4, which is a common target for Wave A retracements.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" class=\"size-large wp-image-727569\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Bitcoin-chart-from-Tony-Severino.jpg?w=512&amp;resize=512%2C335\" alt=\"Bitcoin\" width=\"512\" height=\"335\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Notably, a bigger concern comes after <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-headed-to-69000-analyst-says-btcs-short-term-future-hangs-on-these-levels\/amp\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">Bitcoin\u2019s possible crash<\/a> to $65,000 \u2013 $62,000. The analyst anticipates a short-lived bounce in Wave B, followed by a more pronounced decline in Wave C. This downturn is expected to push the Bitcoin price to its <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/bitcoin-price-bottomed-be-sure\/amp\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">final bottom target<\/a> between $38,000 and $42,000 by April 2026. This pullback target further aligns with the iv sub-wave of Wave 3, which often serves as a key retracement zone during market corrections.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Severino has confirmed through his technical analysis that the market is now in a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/is-bitcoin-in-a-bear-market-or-a-bull-market-correction\/amp\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">bear phase<\/a>. His price chart incorporates cyclical timing models, marking a complete market cycle characterized by a <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/record-breaking-bitcoin-surges-past-109000\/amp\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">bull market peak<\/a> in 2025, followed by a bear market extending into mid-2026. This timeline is consistent with Bitcoin\u2019s typical <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/bitcoin-halving-trends-150-gains-for-current-cycle\/amp\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">four-year halving cycle<\/a>, where the market reaches its peak the year after the halving event before entering a bear market phase.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2>Analyst Flags Death Cross In BTC\u2019s Chart<\/h2>\n<p>Pod\u013ea <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/barchart\/status\/1909314247051387249?s=46\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">reports<\/a> from BarChart on X, Bitcoin has just formed a <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/bitcoin-flashes-death-cross-on-daily-chart-deeper-downtrend-ahead\/amp\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Death Cross on its price chart<\/a> for the first time since September 2024. A Death Cross occurs when the 50 Moving Average (MA) crosses below the 200 MA.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>This distinct chart pattern is often considered a bearish sign, indicating that a potential downtrend might be on the horizon. Considering Bitcoin\u2019s price has declined to $78,900 at press time, the appearance of a Death Cross indicates a possibility of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-to-see-further-crash\/amp\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">further breakdown<\/a> and consolidation.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/kUYucvgQ\/\" alt=\"Bitcoin\" width=\"2301\" height=\"1546\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Bitcoin (BTC) price crash to $74,000 has left traders speculating whether the cryptocurrency has finally hit a bottom. However, a CMT-certified analyst suggests that Bitcoin\u2019s price correction is far from over. He has predicted an even deeper pullback to $38,000 \u2013 $42,000, which he identifies as Bitcoin\u2019s final price bottom.\u00a0\u00a0 In a detailed Elliott [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":21201,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-21199","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-feeds"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Is $74,000 The Bottom For Bitcoin? 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