{"id":51802,"date":"2026-08-08T07:38:37","date_gmt":"2026-08-08T07:38:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/bitcoin-bear-market-over-top-analysts-turn-bullish-but-history-says-otherwise\/"},"modified":"2026-08-08T07:38:37","modified_gmt":"2026-08-08T07:38:37","slug":"bitcoin-bear-market-over-top-analysts-turn-bullish-but-history-says-otherwise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/ro\/bitcoin-bear-market-over-top-analysts-turn-bullish-but-history-says-otherwise\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Bear Market Over? Top Analysts Turn Bullish, but History Says Otherwise"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ever since bitcoin started plunging real hard at the start of the new year and dumped to and eventually below $60,000, analysts have been focused on trying to determine where the bottom is. As usual, they are split into two camps: two who believe another crash is coming, and the optimists indicating that the worst is behind us.<\/p>\n<p>Crypto X, though, was a little surprised on Friday when three analysts showed an interesting and unexpected convergence, with Ali Martinez, Micha\u00ebl van de Poppe, and Merlijn The Trader posting opinions that essentially determined BTC is about to break out.<\/p>\n<h2>Analysts Turn Bullish<\/h2>\n<p>Martinez emerged as arguably the most bullish, highlighting several factors that have aligned for his major breakout call. He noted that improving on-chain data and technical indicators suggest that BTC has likely established a local bottom. He added that selling pressure has faded, while long-term accumulation continues. The combination creates favorable conditions that have historically preceded meaningful upside moves.<\/p>\n<p>The analyst <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/alicharts\/status\/2085669036411465792\">explained<\/a> that the TD Sequential flashed a major buy signal on BTC\u2019s monthly chart in July, which is a rare signal that successfully identified the last market bottom in 2022.<\/p>\n<p>Van de Poppe <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CryptoMichNL\/status\/2085659932171317602\">echoed<\/a> the statement, reaching a similar conclusion from a macro perspective. He argued that BTC\u2019s decline toward $60,000 resembles previous bull-market corrections, which often shook out leveraged traders before the broader uptrend resumed.<\/p>\n<p>In his view, similar moves were a healthy reset rather than the deepening of a bear market, with liquidity returning and buyers gradually stepping back in. Merlijn The Trader, on the other hand, commented that the cryptocurrency has completed a classic breakdown-and-reclaim pattern that frequently marks the end of corrections.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">THE BITCOIN BOTTOM IS IN. Q3 KEEPS TELLING THE SAME STORY.<\/p>\n<p>2023: price chopped above one horizontal level all summer, tested it three times, and never lost it.<\/p>\n<p>Q4 went vertical.<\/p>\n<p>2024: same structure, same three tests, same result.<\/p>\n<p>2026 is running it again. Three touches\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/gcEJqwqahv\">pic.twitter.com\/gcEJqwqahv<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/MerlijnTrader\/status\/2085667268890091866?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 7, 2026<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2>Too Good to Be True?<\/h2>\n<p>The scenario above sounds appealing, right? But there\u2019s also the other side of the coin, and BTC\u2019s history suggests investors should remain cautious whenever the market speaks with such firm conviction. One of the asset\u2019s defining characteristics over the past decade has been its tendency to inflict maximum pain on the majority. It has moved time and time again precisely in the opposite direction of prevailing expectations.<\/p>\n<p>Some of the most significant rallies came after market shocks: the run after the COVID-19 crash, the <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/the-fall-of-sam-bankman-frieds-crypto-empire-a-timeline-of-ftxs-collapse\/\">aftermath of the FTX collapse<\/a> in late 2022, and so on. In contrast, it has slumped once the market has become too greedy and optimistic: recall the <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/bitcoin-crash-sparks-largest-liquidation-in-crypto-history-19b-gone-and-counting\/\">October 2025 crash<\/a> and subsequent 55% correction.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, this doesn\u2019t necessarily mean that the aforementioned analyses are wrong. Many of the factors they named are objectively constructive and promising. However, markets rarely reward the obvious trade.<\/p>\n<p>Don\u2019t get us wrong \u2013 we remain BTC bulls. But we would also like to caution everyone who might go all in just because the sentiment among some top analysts has flipped.<\/p>\n<p>Postul <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/bitcoin-bear-market-over-top-analysts-turn-bullish-but-history-says-otherwise\/\">Bitcoin Bear Market Over? Top Analysts Turn Bullish, but History Says Otherwise<\/a> a ap\u0103rut prima dat\u0103 pe <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">CryptoPotato<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ever since bitcoin started plunging real hard at the start of the new year and dumped to and eventually below $60,000, analysts have been focused on trying to determine where the bottom is. As usual, they are split into two camps: two who believe another crash is coming, and the optimists indicating that the worst [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":51804,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51802","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-feeds"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin Bear Market Over? Top Analysts Turn Bullish, but History Says Otherwise - cryptd.in<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/ro\/bitcoin-bear-market-over-top-analysts-turn-bullish-but-history-says-otherwise\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin Bear Market Over? Top Analysts Turn Bullish, but History Says Otherwise - cryptd.in\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Ever since bitcoin started plunging real hard at the start of the new year and dumped to and eventually below $60,000, analysts have been focused on trying to determine where the bottom is. As usual, they are split into two camps: two who believe another crash is coming, and the optimists indicating that the worst [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/ro\/bitcoin-bear-market-over-top-analysts-turn-bullish-but-history-says-otherwise\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"cryptd.in\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-08-08T07:38:37+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"cryptd.in\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Scris de\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"cryptd.in\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Timp estimat pentru citire\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cryptd.in\\\/bitcoin-bear-market-over-top-analysts-turn-bullish-but-history-says-otherwise\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cryptd.in\\\/bitcoin-bear-market-over-top-analysts-turn-bullish-but-history-says-otherwise\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"cryptd.in\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cryptd.in\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/7973e8183bc6723b86adfe84d5af0ce4\"},\"headline\":\"Bitcoin Bear Market Over? 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