{"id":42046,"date":"2026-05-02T19:32:38","date_gmt":"2026-05-02T19:32:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/bitcoin-price-analysis-btc-closes-above-100-day-ma-as-bulls-eye-breakout\/"},"modified":"2026-05-02T19:32:38","modified_gmt":"2026-05-02T19:32:38","slug":"bitcoin-price-analysis-btc-closes-above-100-day-ma-as-bulls-eye-breakout","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/nl\/bitcoin-price-analysis-btc-closes-above-100-day-ma-as-bulls-eye-breakout\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Closes Above 100-Day MA as Bulls Eye Breakout"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin is trading at $78.3k as the first weekend of May opens. It has done something it has not managed since the cycle peak, which is closing above the 100-day MA and breaking out of a long-term descending channel that contained the entire bearish trend.<\/p>\n<p>The move comes alongside strong daily RSI readings, a successful retest of the breakout level on the 4-hour chart, and an on-chain supply picture that explains precisely why the road ahead gets harder from here, and why it may be worth it anyway.<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin Price Analysis: The Daily Chart<\/h2>\n<p>On the daily chart, BTC has been pushing toward the higher boundary of the mid-term ascending channel after reclaiming the 100-day moving average, which has descended to the $72k zone. The RSI is climbing toward 70, showing consistent bullish readings while still leaving room for follow-through, as an overbought state has not been reached yet.<\/p>\n<p>The immediate test remains the $80k supply zone, which has capped the price on every approach since February. A clean daily close above this area would open the path toward the $90k level, with the 200-day moving average also in the way near the $85k mark. On the downside, the lower boundary of the current zone at $75k is now the first line of support to defend, followed by the 100-day moving average located just below this level.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/BTC-D.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-1436062\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/BTC-D-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1489\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h2>BTC\/USDT 4-Hour Chart<\/h2>\n<p>The 4-hour chart shows a textbook post-breakout structure. The asset broke above the $75k level, pulled back to retest it, which is labeled explicitly on the chart, and has since pushed back toward the $79k region with the RSI also climbing above 60, showing a clear bullish shift in momentum. The structure is clean, and the retest adds conviction to the move.<\/p>\n<p>The upper channel boundary and the $80k psychological level are converging as the immediate ceiling. A 4-hour close above the recent highs near $79.5k, with the RSI also holding below the overbought region, keeps the bullish structure intact and targets the $82k-$84k supply zone above. In case of any pullback, the $75k area can prove critical again, as it\u2019s the major nearby support level on this timeframe.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/BTC-4H-scaled.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-1436061\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/BTC-4H-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1489\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h2>On-Chain Analysis<\/h2>\n<p>With 64.2% of Bitcoin\u2019s circulating supply currently in profit, the recovery from the February low has made meaningful progress, but the remaining 35.8% underwater tells the more important story. The bulk of that loss-making supply was acquired between $80k and $125k during the late 2025 distribution phase, meaning BTC is now entering the price range where a large cohort of holders approaches breakeven, and the incentive to sell intensifies.<\/p>\n<p>Historically, crossing the 75\u201380% supply-in-profit threshold has marked the point where correction-driven overhead pressure meaningfully subsides, and momentum can sustain. The current reading of 64.2% confirms that the threshold has not yet been reached, which explains why the $80k\u2013$90k zone has acted as such a stubborn ceiling.<\/p>\n<p>Each push higher converts more underwater holders into profit-takers, but it also reduces the pool of forced sellers, and if the price can clear $80k, the supply-in-profit curve could accelerate rapidly toward levels that have historically preceded the next significant leg higher.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Bitcoin-Supply-in-Profit--scaled.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-1436060\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Bitcoin-Supply-in-Profit--scaled.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1440\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>De post <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/bitcoin-price-analysis-btc-closes-above-100-day-ma-as-bulls-eye-breakout\/\">Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Closes Above 100-Day MA as Bulls Eye Breakout<\/a> verscheen eerst op <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">CryptoPotato<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin is trading at $78.3k as the first weekend of May opens. It has done something it has not managed since the cycle peak, which is closing above the 100-day MA and breaking out of a long-term descending channel that contained the entire bearish trend. The move comes alongside strong daily RSI readings, a successful [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":42048,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-42046","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-feeds"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Closes Above 100-Day MA as Bulls Eye Breakout - cryptd.in<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/nl\/bitcoin-price-analysis-btc-closes-above-100-day-ma-as-bulls-eye-breakout\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"nl_NL\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Closes Above 100-Day MA as Bulls Eye Breakout - cryptd.in\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bitcoin is trading at $78.3k as the first weekend of May opens. It has done something it has not managed since the cycle peak, which is closing above the 100-day MA and breaking out of a long-term descending channel that contained the entire bearish trend. The move comes alongside strong daily RSI readings, a successful [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/nl\/bitcoin-price-analysis-btc-closes-above-100-day-ma-as-bulls-eye-breakout\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"cryptd.in\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-05-02T19:32:38+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"cryptd.in\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Geschreven door\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"cryptd.in\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Geschatte leestijd\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minuten\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cryptd.in\\\/bitcoin-price-analysis-btc-closes-above-100-day-ma-as-bulls-eye-breakout\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cryptd.in\\\/bitcoin-price-analysis-btc-closes-above-100-day-ma-as-bulls-eye-breakout\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"cryptd.in\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cryptd.in\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/7973e8183bc6723b86adfe84d5af0ce4\"},\"headline\":\"Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Closes Above 100-Day MA as Bulls Eye Breakout\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-05-02T19:32:38+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cryptd.in\\\/bitcoin-price-analysis-btc-closes-above-100-day-ma-as-bulls-eye-breakout\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":547,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cryptd.in\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cryptd.in\\\/bitcoin-price-analysis-btc-closes-above-100-day-ma-as-bulls-eye-breakout\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cryptd.in\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/05\\\/BTC-D-scaled-wxtrMU.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Feeds\"],\"inLanguage\":\"nl-NL\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/cryptd.in\\\/bitcoin-price-analysis-btc-closes-above-100-day-ma-as-bulls-eye-breakout\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cryptd.in\\\/bitcoin-price-analysis-btc-closes-above-100-day-ma-as-bulls-eye-breakout\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cryptd.in\\\/bitcoin-price-analysis-btc-closes-above-100-day-ma-as-bulls-eye-breakout\\\/\",\"name\":\"Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Closes Above 100-Day MA as Bulls Eye Breakout - 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