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Analyst Uncovers Clues—Is Bitcoin’s Historic Bull Cycle Finally Topping Out?

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Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, continues to exhibit uncertain momentum since hitting its all-time high above $109,000 in January 2024.

Since then, the digital asset has experienced diminished bullish activity and steady downward pressure, reflected by its latest price of approximately $82,000, marking a marginal weekly drop of about 0.6%.

Market Implications of Volume Ratio Trends

Amid these market conditions, Crypto Dan, an analyst contributing to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, has provided insights highlighting a notable market trend.

According to Dan, Bitcoin’s trading volume over six to twelve months acts as an indicator of the amount of capital entering the cryptocurrency market during specific market cycles.

Bitcoin price and volume.

As highlighted in the chart shared, the metric typically undergoes two distinct phases of decline: the first signals the conclusion of the early bull cycle phase, while the second, lower drop, traditionally marks the peak and subsequent end of the cycle.

The volume ratio trend outlined by Crypto Dan provides insights into investor behavior and market sentiment. Essentially, as this ratio decreases for the second time, historical patterns suggest that investor interest and speculative activity may begin to taper, potentially signaling the culmination of the ongoing bull run.

Investors typically interpret such movements cautiously, as similar past events often preceded significant corrections in the market

Technical Analysts View on Bitcoin

Technical analysts add additional perspectives on Bitcoin’s current status. Analyst RektCapital recently pointed out significant developments in Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI)—a momentum oscillator measuring the speed and magnitude of recent price movements to assess overbought or oversold conditions.

RektCapital highlighted that the Monthly RSI level of 60 previously represented resistance levels during Bitcoin’s dominance peaks in August 2019 and December 2020.

Notably, this cycle differs, with the Monthly RSI 60 acting as a support floor rather than resistance. This change could suggest ongoing strength and potential resilience in Bitcoin’s price. Meanwhile, Javon Marks, another market analyst, emphasizes a bullish chart pattern currently forming for Bitcoin.

Marks believes these signals indicate an impending significant rally, suggesting that despite current market caution, underlying indicators remain strong, hinting at future bullish momentum. He argues investors ignoring these patterns may soon have to acknowledge a substantial upward price movement.

.Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

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