{"id":32522,"date":"2025-09-01T13:07:25","date_gmt":"2025-09-01T13:07:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/3-big-reasons-september-could-spark-a-bitcoin-btc-rally\/"},"modified":"2025-09-01T13:07:25","modified_gmt":"2025-09-01T13:07:25","slug":"3-big-reasons-september-could-spark-a-bitcoin-btc-rally","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/ja\/3-big-reasons-september-could-spark-a-bitcoin-btc-rally\/","title":{"rendered":"3 Big Reasons September Could Spark a Bitcoin (BTC) Rally"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>TL;DR<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Bitcoin (BTC) is trading below $110,000, but several elements suggest the asset may experience a substantial resurgence in the following weeks.<\/span><\/li>\n<li>Despite the positive signals, September has historically been a weak month for the asset.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><a href=\"http:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/BTC_CB-21.jpg\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-410849\" src=\"http:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/BTC_CB-21.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1201\" height=\"720\" \/><\/a><\/span><\/h2>\n<h2>Massive Gains This Month?<\/h2>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The primary cryptocurrency <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/bitcoin-tops-124k-in-new-peak-as-crypto-market-cap-hits-ath\/\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\">exploded<\/a> to a new all-time high in mid-August, surpassing $124,000. Since then, though, it has struggled to maintain its momentum and now trades $15,000 lower. However, investors and crypto enthusiasts have not lost hope that the bull run is over, with all eyes now fixed on September. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">One important event that could act as a <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">major<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> catalyst this month is the potential lowering of the interest rates in the United States. Less than two weeks ago, Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, <\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/bitcoin-price-explodes-as-fed-chair-powell-opens-the-door-for-rate-cuts-in-september\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">hinted<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> at his speech in Jackson Hole that the benchmark might indeed <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">be decreased<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> before the end of the year.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The move (if implemented) will make money-borrowing cheaper and is likely to increase the interest in risk-on assets (such as BTC). Currently, the rates are in the range of 4.25% \u2013 4.5% and the last time they <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">were lowered<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> was in December 2024.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Fed\u2019s next FOMC meeting <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">is scheduled<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> for September, and according to Polymarket, there is an 83% probability that the percentage will <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">be decreased<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> by 0.25%. The odds of a more drastic drop by half a percent are a mere 3.6%, while \u201cno change\u201d is estimated at 13%.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<figure aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-410848\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Interest-rates-.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-410848\" src=\"http:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Interest-rates-.png\" alt=\"Fed Decision in September\" width=\"687\" height=\"400\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Fed Decision in September, Source: Polymarket<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">We move on to the amount of BTC stored on crypto exchanges, which, a few days ago, plummeted to a new seven-year low. The exodus from centralized platforms indicates that more and more investors are shifting toward self-custody methods, which reduces immediate selling pressure and could <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">be interpreted<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> as a bullish indicator.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-410847\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/BTC-Exchange-Reserve.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-410847\" src=\"http:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/BTC-Exchange-Reserve.png\" alt=\"BTC Exchange Reserve\" width=\"748\" height=\"400\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">BTC Exchange Reserve, Source: CryptoQuant<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Last but not least<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">, we will examine the <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">popular<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> Fear and Greed Index, which analyzes the current sentiment of the Bitcoin market. It ranges from 0 to 100 and shows the current state of the overall market sentiment from Extreme Fear to Extreme Greed. <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Due to the asset\u2019s price retreat in the past few days, the index entered \u201cFear\u201d territory and currently has a ratio of 46.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-410846\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/BTC-Fear-and-Greed-.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-410846\" src=\"http:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/BTC-Fear-and-Greed-.png\" alt=\"BTC Fear and Greed\" width=\"905\" height=\"400\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">BTC Fear and Greed, Source: alternative.me<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><br \/>\n<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">This<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> may sound disturbing for bulls, but it sometimes indicates that the panic selling might already be behind us and could <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">be seen<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> as a buying opportunity. In cases like this, it is always helpful to cite Warren Buffett\u2019s famous investment maxim: \u201cBe fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.\u201d<br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">History Is on the Bearish Side<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Despite the <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">aforementioned factors<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> that suggest BTC could rally in the next 30 days, investors should <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">keep in mind<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> the asset\u2019s historical performance in September. In the past 12 years, the price managed to close in the green only four times.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Moreover, September has always been red for BTC following a halving year. <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Recall that the last halving <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">happened<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> in the spring of 2024, and it will be interesting to see whether history <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">will repeat<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> itself.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-410845\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/BTC-Monthly-Returns.png\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-410845\" src=\"http:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/BTC-Monthly-Returns.png\" alt=\"BTC Monthly Returns\" width=\"679\" height=\"400\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">BTC Monthly Returns, Source: CoinGlass<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u30dd\u30b9\u30c8 <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/3-big-reasons-september-could-spark-a-bitcoin-btc-rally\/\">3 Big Reasons September Could Spark a Bitcoin (BTC) Rally<\/a> \u306b\u521d\u767b\u5834\u3057\u305f\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">\u30af\u30ea\u30d7\u30c8\u30dd\u30c6\u30c8<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>TL;DR Bitcoin (BTC) is trading below $110,000, but several elements suggest the asset may experience a substantial resurgence in the following weeks. Despite the positive signals, September has historically been a weak month for the asset. Massive Gains This Month? The primary cryptocurrency exploded to a new all-time high in mid-August, surpassing $124,000. Since then, though, it has struggled to maintain its momentum and now trades $15,000 lower. However, investors and crypto enthusiasts have not lost hope that the bull run is over, with all eyes now fixed on September. One important event that could act as a major catalyst this month is the potential lowering of the interest rates [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":32524,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-32522","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-feeds"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>3 Big Reasons September Could Spark a Bitcoin (BTC) Rally - cryptd.in<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/ja\/3-big-reasons-september-could-spark-a-bitcoin-btc-rally\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ja_JP\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"3 Big Reasons September Could Spark a Bitcoin (BTC) Rally - cryptd.in\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"TL;DR Bitcoin (BTC) is trading below $110,000, but several elements suggest the asset may experience a substantial resurgence in the following weeks. Despite the positive signals, September has historically been a weak month for the asset. Massive Gains This Month? The primary cryptocurrency exploded to a new all-time high in mid-August, surpassing $124,000. Since then, though, it has struggled to maintain its momentum and now trades $15,000 lower. However, investors and crypto enthusiasts have not lost hope that the bull run is over, with all eyes now fixed on September. 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Despite the positive signals, September has historically been a weak month for the asset. Massive Gains This Month? The primary cryptocurrency exploded to a new all-time high in mid-August, surpassing $124,000. Since then, though, it has struggled to maintain its momentum and now trades $15,000 lower. However, investors and crypto enthusiasts have not lost hope that the bull run is over, with all eyes now fixed on September. 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