{"id":43797,"date":"2026-05-17T21:18:18","date_gmt":"2026-05-17T21:18:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/best-time-to-buy-btc-coingecko-points-to-these-us-holidays\/"},"modified":"2026-05-17T21:18:18","modified_gmt":"2026-05-17T21:18:18","slug":"best-time-to-buy-btc-coingecko-points-to-these-us-holidays","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/it\/best-time-to-buy-btc-coingecko-points-to-these-us-holidays\/","title":{"rendered":"Best Time to Buy BTC? CoinGecko Points to These US Holidays"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A new study by CoinGecko found that buying Bitcoin on US holidays has historically delivered much stronger short-term returns compared to regular trading days.<\/p>\n<p>The analysis examined Bitcoin\u2019s forward returns across different calendar days between May 1, 2013, and May 8, 2026, focusing on single-day gains after purchase.<\/p>\n<h2>BTC\u2019s Strongest Next-Day Rallies<\/h2>\n<p>According to the data, US holidays <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coingecko.com\/research\/publications\/best-days-to-buy-bitcoin\">recorded<\/a> an average next-day Bitcoin return of 0.77%, compared to just 0.19% on non-holidays. CoinGecko found that holidays outperformed regular days in 11 of the 14 calendar years included in the study. Among regular weekdays, Mondays and Wednesdays posted the highest average next-day return at 0.38%, while Thursdays were the only day to produce a negative average return of 0.09%.<\/p>\n<p>The report identified New Year\u2019s Day as the strongest-performing holiday for Bitcoin purchases, with an average next-day return of 2.01% across 13 observations and a win rate of 84.6%, meaning Bitcoin rose the following day in 11 out of 13 years. Columbus Day posted the same 84.6% win rate alongside an average return of 1.70%, while Christmas generated a 1.46% average next-day gain with a 53.8% win rate.<\/p>\n<p>CoinGecko said the New Year\u2019s Day pattern may indicate the broader January momentum effect often seen in traditional financial markets, where investors deploy fresh capital at the start of a new year. The study added that Bitcoin may also benefit from a shift away from December tax-loss selling into renewed January positioning. The report noted that Bitcoin\u2019s price on January 1 ranged from $313 in 2015 to $93,507 in 2025, yet the pattern of next-day gains remained relatively consistent throughout the period.<\/p>\n<p>However, not all holidays produced positive results. Martin Luther King Jr. Day recorded the weakest performance with an average next-day negative return of 0.84%, largely influenced by Bitcoin\u2019s 18.65% drop following January 15, 2018, during the early phase of the crypto bear market. Independence Day also averaged a negative return at 0.26%. Veterans Day showed an average gain of 1.75%, but CoinGecko warned that the figure was distorted by a few unusually large rallies, while the holiday\u2019s win rate remained below 50%.<\/p>\n<p>The study also found little meaningful difference in Bitcoin performance between weekdays and weekends. Weekdays averaged a 0.21% positive next-day return compared to 0.22% on weekends, which CoinGecko described as statistically insignificant due to Bitcoin\u2019s 24\/7 trading structure.<\/p>\n<p>Over a one-year holding period, the day of purchase had almost no impact on long-term returns, as average annual gains across all weekdays remained within a narrow 2.4 percentage point range. CoinGecko added that while holiday purchases also showed slightly stronger one-year returns, the effect was likely indicative of broader market cycles rather than a continued holiday-driven trend.<\/p>\n<h2>Multiple Pressures Hit Bitcoin<\/h2>\n<p>As for Bitcoin\u2019s latest price action, the asset is currently trading back above $80,000 after briefly slipping below that level earlier this week. Market experts <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/bitcoins-drop-below-80k-was-not-random-here-are-the-3-hidden-triggers\/\">said<\/a> the decline was driven by several pressures hitting the market at once. On-chain data showed that Bitcoin exchange outflows had dropped sharply before the selloff, leaving more coins on trading platforms and increasing available sell-side supply.<\/p>\n<p>At the same time, derivatives traders were aggressively building short positions while leveraged long exposure remained high. Once prices started falling, a wave of long liquidations accelerated the move downward. Rising inflation concerns following fresh US CPI and PPI data, alongside heavy whale selling, added further pressure to the market.<\/p>\n<p>Il post <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/best-time-to-buy-btc-coingecko-points-to-these-us-holidays\/\">Best Time to Buy BTC? CoinGecko Points to These US Holidays<\/a> \u00e8 apparso per la prima volta su <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">Criptopatate<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A new study by CoinGecko found that buying Bitcoin on US holidays has historically delivered much stronger short-term returns compared to regular trading days. The analysis examined Bitcoin\u2019s forward returns across different calendar days between May 1, 2013, and May 8, 2026, focusing on single-day gains after purchase. BTC\u2019s Strongest Next-Day Rallies According to the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":43799,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-43797","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-feeds"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Best Time to Buy BTC? CoinGecko Points to These US Holidays - cryptd.in<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/it\/best-time-to-buy-btc-coingecko-points-to-these-us-holidays\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"it_IT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Best Time to Buy BTC? CoinGecko Points to These US Holidays - cryptd.in\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A new study by CoinGecko found that buying Bitcoin on US holidays has historically delivered much stronger short-term returns compared to regular trading days. The analysis examined Bitcoin\u2019s forward returns across different calendar days between May 1, 2013, and May 8, 2026, focusing on single-day gains after purchase. 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CoinGecko Points to These US Holidays - cryptd.in","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/it\/best-time-to-buy-btc-coingecko-points-to-these-us-holidays\/","og_locale":"it_IT","og_type":"article","og_title":"Best Time to Buy BTC? CoinGecko Points to These US Holidays - cryptd.in","og_description":"A new study by CoinGecko found that buying Bitcoin on US holidays has historically delivered much stronger short-term returns compared to regular trading days. The analysis examined Bitcoin\u2019s forward returns across different calendar days between May 1, 2013, and May 8, 2026, focusing on single-day gains after purchase. BTC\u2019s Strongest Next-Day Rallies According to the [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/it\/best-time-to-buy-btc-coingecko-points-to-these-us-holidays\/","og_site_name":"cryptd.in","article_published_time":"2026-05-17T21:18:18+00:00","author":"cryptd.in","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Scritto da":"cryptd.in","Tempo di lettura stimato":"3 minuti"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/best-time-to-buy-btc-coingecko-points-to-these-us-holidays\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/best-time-to-buy-btc-coingecko-points-to-these-us-holidays\/"},"author":{"name":"cryptd.in","@id":"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/#\/schema\/person\/7973e8183bc6723b86adfe84d5af0ce4"},"headline":"Best Time to Buy BTC? 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