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Bitcoin Hits $70K After Losing Key Cost Basis Zone as Analysts Warn of Deeper Drawdown

Bitcoin is on “the edge of a breakdown,” reported onchain analytics firm Swissblock on Monday.

The analysts noted that the loss of the “Cost Basis Zone” has already triggered a decisive drawdown.

Consolidation inside this zone appeared constructive, but there was no confirmation, and BTC failed to hold it, showing little strength when trying to reclaim it, they said.

“That shifted the framework from consolidation into breakdown risk.”

BTC Needs to Re-enter The Battlefield

The Cost Basis Zone is currently between around $72,000 and $79,000, according to the Swissblock chart.

It measures the price range where recent Bitcoin buyers, especially short-term holders, acquired their BTC on average and acts as a key support/resistance level based on the actual purchase prices of coins in circulation.

“The only way BTC recovers its bullish posture is by re-entering the Cost Basis Battlefield with strength.”

Bitcoin is “under growing pressure,” stated Glassnode on Monday. “Sellers dominate spot, ETF outflows accelerate to $1.3 billion, and fresh capital has stalled,” it added.

“Structure has broken, and momentum favours the downside near-term.”

Bitcoin ETP provider Bitcoin Capital echoed the sentiment, stating that the recovery stalled exactly at the short-term holder cost basis and rolled over.

Key on-chain metrics have broken down at current price levels, which are a “contained drawdown and failed recovery.”

“Bitcoin’s weakness against the wider market has reached its highest point ever,” commented the usually bullish ‘Sykodelic’. “It is now the only macro asset not in expansion.”

“At this moment, Bitcoin has completely decoupled from every other macro asset, for the first time since it was created.”

It will also be the first time any macro asset has “created its own unique path and ignored the underlying forces that govern financial markets,” he added.

Bitcoin Dumps to $70K

Bitcoin fell to $70,000 in early Asian trading on Tuesday morning, marking a 3.8% daily decline.

The asset is currently down 8% on the week and is poised to fall back into the $60,000 zone, returning to levels last seen in early April.

It is still largely range-bound, as it has been since early February, but could now fall to the bottom of that range, around $65,000.

A recent SEC filing revealed that Michael Saylor’s Strategy sold 32 BTC in late May for around $2.5 million, compounding the overwhelmingly bearish sentiment.

Il post Bitcoin Hits $70K After Losing Key Cost Basis Zone as Analysts Warn of Deeper Drawdown è apparso per la prima volta su Criptopatate.


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