{"id":46082,"date":"2026-06-04T22:30:01","date_gmt":"2026-06-04T22:30:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/bitcoins-great-wealth-transfer-may-fuel-next-rally-says-cryptoquant-ceo\/"},"modified":"2026-06-04T22:30:01","modified_gmt":"2026-06-04T22:30:01","slug":"bitcoins-great-wealth-transfer-may-fuel-next-rally-says-cryptoquant-ceo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/fr\/bitcoins-great-wealth-transfer-may-fuel-next-rally-says-cryptoquant-ceo\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin\u2019s Great Wealth Transfer May Fuel Next Rally, Says CryptoQuant CEO"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju says Bitcoin\u2019s current distribution phase may be less a sign of structural weakness than a major transfer of supply from old market participants to US financial institutions, ETFs and new long-term holders.<\/p>\n<p>In a<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ki_young_ju\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\"> series of posts<\/a> on X, Ki argued that selling by Bitcoin OGs and long-time miners is part of a broad \u201cchange of hands\u201d rather than evidence that the asset has exhausted its cycle. The key question, in his view, is not only how much supply is being sold, but who is ultimately absorbing it.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI believe that the selling by Bitcoin OGs and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-miner-mara-stock-under-pressure-following-1-5-billion-bitcoin-sell-off\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">long-time miners<\/a> is part of a major shift in hands, transferring to US traditional financial institutions, investors, and ETFs,\u201d Ki wrote. \u201cSo, I disagree with the claim that Bitcoin won\u2019t do well anymore once the shift is complete and there\u2019s no more liquidity coming in.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2>Bitcoin\u2019s Ownership Base Is Changing<\/h2>\n<p>Ki\u2019s thesis centers on the composition of Bitcoin holders. He said that, for any asset, the long-term market setup depends heavily on the capital base behind it. If the new owners are institutions capable of attracting larger pools of liquidity over time, he argued, the transition could ultimately support another upward cycle.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cFor any asset, what ultimately matters is who holds it,\u201d he wrote. \u201cIf the people holding it now are entities that can bring in even greater liquidity going forward, then I think we can look forward to the next rally at any time.\u201d<br \/>\nThe argument marks a notable framing of the current market. Bitcoin has seen intense sell pressure even as large institutional buyers have continued absorbing supply. Ki described the current distribution phase as \u201ca massive change of hands,\u201d pointing to a market where old holders are distributing while ETFs, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/strategy-sells-bitcoin-for-first-time-since-2022\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">Strategy<\/a> and newer cohorts take the other side.<\/p>\n<p>According to Ki, Bitcoin investors\u2019 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-struggles-to-reclaim-key-cost-basis-as-realized-losses-climb-details\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">average cost basis<\/a> is around $53,000. Historically, he said, bear markets ended only after price fell below the realized price. He previously thought that level would be difficult to revisit because of institutional inflows and Strategy\u2019s limited selling. But he said recent price action indicates \u201cunusually strong sell pressure.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The scale of absorption is central to his concern. Since January 2023, Strategy has bought 711,206 BTC and sold only 32 BTC, removing a net 711,174 BTC from circulation, according to Ki. Since March 2024, when Bitcoin was also around $63,000, ETFs have absorbed 509,102 BTC while Strategy bought another 650,706 BTC. Together, that amounts to 1,240,808 BTC absorbed, yet price has returned to the same level.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" class=\"size-full wp-image-900223\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/HJ8E0f1aoAAoFQr.jpg?resize=1024%2C576\" alt=\"Bitcoin Realized Price\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/p>\n<p>For context, Ki noted that exchange reserves sit around 2.7 million BTC, while <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin\/satoshis-22000-wallets-could-make-quantum-attacks-on-bitcoin-far-more-difficult-expert\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">Satoshi Nakamoto<\/a> is estimated to hold around 1 million BTC. In other words, more Bitcoin than Satoshi\u2019s estimated stack, and nearly half of exchange reserves, has been absorbed without producing a sustained price advance.<\/p>\n<h2>Short-Term Buyers Are Maturing<\/h2>\n<p>Ki also pointed to a major shift inside the realized-cap structure. Bitcoin is at roughly the same price as two years ago, he said, but the holder base looks materially different. The 6-month-to-2-year cohort, representing investors who entered during this cycle, now accounts for 53% of realized cap, up from 15% two years ago.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" class=\"size-full wp-image-900224\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/HJ8ZmTJaIAAAimt.jpg?resize=1024%2C576\" alt=\"Bitcoin Realized Cap - UTXO Age Bands\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/p>\n<p>That matters because, in Ki\u2019s interpretation, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-short-term-holders-move-107760-btc-in-a-single-day-details\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">short-term holders<\/a> are gradually becoming long-term holders. He compared the current figure with the previous cycle, when Bitcoin bottomed after the same cohort reached 68% of realized cap. \u201cShort-term holders are evolving into long-term holders,\u201d he wrote.<\/p>\n<p>The setup is not without risk. Ki reposted a separate observation from Julio Moreno stating that overall Bitcoin demand, including speculative and spot demand, is contracting at a monthly pace of 232,000 BTC. Moreno argued that the current correction is tied directly to Bitcoin demand conditions, not to equities, oil or macro indicators, noting that stocks are at all-time highs while manufacturing activity is improving.<\/p>\n<p>Ki\u2019s posts therefore present a split picture. On one side, current demand is contracting and sell pressure remains heavy despite historic institutional absorption. On the other, Bitcoin\u2019s ownership base is migrating toward institutions and maturing newer cohorts that may provide a deeper demand base in the future.<\/p>\n<p>Ki acknowledged that this transition comes with a cultural cost. \u201cHonestly, in terms of rising asset value, I think traditional financial institution investors might provide an even stronger demand base than Bitcoin OGs,\u201d he wrote. \u201cOf course, in that process, some of the cypherpunk values may get diluted. I really regret that part too.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>For markets, the debate now turns on whether Wall Street\u2019s growing share of Bitcoin ownership can offset the supply leaving older holders and miners. Ki\u2019s conclusion remains constructive, but conditional on that transfer becoming a source of future liquidity rather than a ceiling on upside.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cStill, I believe there will definitely be another upward cycle for Bitcoin,\u201d he wrote. \u201cAs an investor, I still believe in Bitcoin and think it\u2019s worth waiting a bit longer.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>At press time, BTC traded at $62,696.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" class=\"size-full wp-image-900228\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/BTCUSDT_2026-06-04_14-20-26.png?resize=1024%2C502\" alt=\"Bitcoin price chart\" width=\"1024\" height=\"502\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju says Bitcoin\u2019s current distribution phase may be less a sign of structural weakness than a major transfer of supply from old market participants to US financial institutions, ETFs and new long-term holders. In a series of posts on X, Ki argued that selling by Bitcoin OGs and long-time miners is [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":46084,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-46082","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-feeds"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin\u2019s Great Wealth Transfer May Fuel Next Rally, Says CryptoQuant CEO - cryptd.in<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/fr\/bitcoins-great-wealth-transfer-may-fuel-next-rally-says-cryptoquant-ceo\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin\u2019s Great Wealth Transfer May Fuel Next Rally, Says CryptoQuant CEO - cryptd.in\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju says Bitcoin\u2019s current distribution phase may be less a sign of structural weakness than a major transfer of supply from old market participants to US financial institutions, ETFs and new long-term holders. 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