{"id":49777,"date":"2026-07-14T10:54:33","date_gmt":"2026-07-14T10:54:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/bitcoin-btc-in-trouble-analyst-sees-a-potential-drop-below-40k\/"},"modified":"2026-07-14T10:54:33","modified_gmt":"2026-07-14T10:54:33","slug":"bitcoin-btc-in-trouble-analyst-sees-a-potential-drop-below-40k","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/es\/bitcoin-btc-in-trouble-analyst-sees-a-potential-drop-below-40k\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin (BTC) in Trouble: Analyst Sees a Potential Drop Below $40K"},"content":{"rendered":"

The primary cryptocurrency attempted a decisive rebound earlier this month, rising to nearly $65,000.<\/p>\n

However, the bears intercepted the move and pulled the price to the current $62,600, while many analysts believe the cycle\u2019s bottom has yet to be reached.<\/p>\n

More Pain Ahead?<\/h2>\n

X user Aralez claimed<\/a> that the asset\u2019s \u201cmassive bull trap\u201d is entering its final stage, predicting severe volatility in the following months. The analyst expects the price to first rally toward $70,000, only to hit strong resistance and reverse sharply to around $39,000. After that final shakeout, they forecast a new long-term uptrend that could send BTC to as high as $150,000 by late 2027.<\/p>\n

X user Crypto Lens shared a similar thesis, envisioning<\/a> a plunge below $50,000 sometime this week and a crash under $40,000 by August. \u201cDon\u2019t become the exit liquidity,\u201d they warned.<\/p>\n

The analyst, who goes by symbiote on X, also chipped in. They believe<\/a> BTC has roughly 80 days left before reaching its cycle bottom, basing the projection on the asset\u2019s performance during the previous bear markets in 2018 and 2022.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin\u2019s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio suggests that the actual floor still appears to be ahead. The figure has been declining over the past several months but has not yet dropped below 1, which, according to CryptoQuant, has historically marked \u201cgenerational buying opportunities and cycle bottoms.\u201d<\/p>\n

\"BTC<\/a>
BTC MVRV, Source: CryptoQuant<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

The Bullish Scenario<\/h2>\n

Other analysts are more optimistic and outlined important reasons why BTC might be on the verge of a short-term resurgence. X user Al\u039ex Wacy noted<\/a> that the asset recently hit its most oversold monthly reading in history: a development that is often a precursor of a rally.<\/p>\n

For his part, Ali Martinez paid attention<\/a> to BTC\u2019s Accumulation Trend Score, which has remained close to 1. This signals persistent accumulation by large investors, which is usually a bullish factor for the price.<\/p>\n

One should also keep in mind that July has historically been a positive month for BTC. The asset has finished the period in the red only four out of 13 times, and it remains to be seen whether another green print is ahead.<\/p>\n

\"BTC<\/a>
BTC Monthly Returns, Source: CoinGlass<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

El puesto Bitcoin (BTC) in Trouble: Analyst Sees a Potential Drop Below $40K<\/a> apareci\u00f3 por primera vez en CryptoPotato<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The primary cryptocurrency attempted a decisive rebound earlier this month, rising to nearly $65,000. However, the bears intercepted the move and pulled the price to the current $62,600, while many analysts believe the cycle\u2019s bottom has yet to be reached. More Pain Ahead? X user Aralez claimed that the asset\u2019s \u201cmassive bull trap\u201d is entering […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":49779,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49777","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-feeds"],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin (BTC) in Trouble: Analyst Sees a Potential Drop Below $40K - cryptd.in<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptd.in\/es\/bitcoin-btc-in-trouble-analyst-sees-a-potential-drop-below-40k\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin (BTC) in Trouble: Analyst Sees a Potential Drop Below $40K - cryptd.in\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The primary cryptocurrency attempted a decisive rebound earlier this month, rising to nearly $65,000. 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